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cs.LG updates on arXiv.org

Memory-Guided Trust-Region Bayesian Optimization (MG-TuRBO) for High Dimensions EngageTriBoost: Predictive Modeling of User Engagement in Digital Mental Health Intervention Using Explainable Machine Learning Reservoir observer enhanced with residual calibration and attention mechanism Efficient RL Training for LLMs with Experience Replay Wireless Communication Enhanced Value Decomposition for Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Adversarial Sensor Errors for Safe and Robust Wind Turbine Fleet Control IKKA: Inversion Classification via Critical Anomalies for Robust Visual Servoing Adaptive Simulation Experiment for LLM Policy Optimization EvoLen: Evolution-Guided Tokenization for DNA Language Model Smartwatch-Based Sitting Time Estimation in Real-World Office Settings Structural Evaluation Metrics for SVG Generation via Leave-One-Out Analysis Loom: A Scalable Analytical Neural Computer Architecture Spectral Geometry of LoRA Adapters Encodes Training Objective and Predicts Harmful Compliance Finite-Sample Analysis of Nonlinear Independent Component Analysis:Sample Complexity and Identifiability Bounds How does Chain of Thought decompose complex tasks? Uncertainty-Aware Transformers: Conformal Prediction for Language Models Adaptive Candidate Point Thompson Sampling for High-Dimensional Bayesian Optimization Using Synthetic Data for Machine Learning-based Childhood Vaccination Prediction in Narok, Kenya Delve into the Applicability of Advanced Optimizers for Multi-Task Learning Bridging SFT and RL: Dynamic Policy Optimization for Robust Reasoning Multi-Agent Decision-Focused Learning via Value-Aware Sequential Communication Predictive Entropy Links Calibration and Paraphrase Sensitivity in Medical Vision-Language Models Efficient Hierarchical Implicit Flow Q-learning for Offline Goal-conditioned Reinforcement Learning Modality-Aware Zero-Shot Pruning and Sparse Attention for Efficient Multimodal Edge Inference The nextAI Solution to the NeurIPS 2023 LLM Efficiency Challenge Feature-Label Modal Alignment for Robust Partial Multi-Label Learning Integrated electro-optic attention nonlinearities for transformers Toward World Models for Epidemiology Tracing the Chain: Deep Learning for Stepping-Stone Intrusion Detection Batch Distillation Data for Developing Machine Learning Anomaly Detection Methods
GCA-BULF: A Bottom-Up Framework for Short-Term Load Forec...
Yunhao Yao, Jinwei Fang, Puhan Luo, Zhiqiang Wang, Jiahui Hou, X · 2026-04-04 · via cs.LG updates on arXiv.org

With the rise of time-of-use and tiered electricity pricing, energy consumers are encouraged to adopt peak-shifting strategies by automatically controlling high-power appliances. These help lower energy costs while enhancing the power grid's stability. To support such energy management with high resilience and responsiveness, reliable short-term load forecasting (STLF) plays a critical role. STLF predicts electricity consumption over time horizons ranging from minutes to days, using historical data, temporal patterns, and contextual factors. Traditional top-down forecasting methods struggle to capture the complex consumption patterns of diverse and mixed appliance loads. Although bottom-up methods improve forecasting accuracy by integrating appliance-level data, monitoring all appliances is costly, and many do not meaningfully impact total load prediction. Therefore, we propose GCA-BULF, a bottom-up short-term load forecasting framework based on grouped critical appliances, supported by three key designs. First, the Critical Appliance Filtering module ranks appliances according to their power consumption, switching frequency, and usage pattern periodicity, and identifies critical ones through iterative load decomposition. Next, the Related Appliance Grouping module clusters these appliances based on spatial and temporal correlations for group-level forecasting. Finally, the Collaborative Load Forecasting module refines the total load prediction by combining multiple group-level forecasts. We evaluate GCA-BULF on residential and office building load forecasting tasks. Experimental results reveal that GCA-BULF improves hourly total load forecasting by 20.85%-57.88% compared to existing top-down methods and by 33.03%-92.48% compared to bottom-up methods.