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cs.LG updates on arXiv.org

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Generalising Travel Time Prediction To Varying Route Choi...
{\L}ukasz Go · 2026-05-11 · via cs.LG updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Previous methods that predict system-wide travel time, predominantly grounded in graph neural networks, remain limited to typical and recurring demand patterns. While they successfully predict future congestion following daily commute, they inherently approximate a single demand realisation and fail to capture varying route choices. In this work, we propose a Generalised Travel Time Predictor (GenTTP) that successfully differentiates route choices and offers accurate flow and travel time predictions. Our framework learns to uncover complex spatiotemporal traffic patterns and microscopic relationships between route choices and the resulting travel times. This addresses a critical gap: the lack of travel time prediction models that generalise across varying route assignments, where the same demand can produce substantially different network-wide outcomes depending on how travellers are distributed over available paths.
Subjects: Multiagent Systems (cs.MA); Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2605.06918 [cs.MA]
  (or arXiv:2605.06918v1 [cs.MA] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.06918

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Łukasz Gorczyca [view email]
[v1] Thu, 7 May 2026 20:29:08 UTC (8,279 KB)