Rain belt is expected to cover Central India, West India and west coast this week and into the next as part of revival phase of monsoon. | Photo Credit: www.tropicaltidbits.com

The monsoon has revived over the past two days, helping reduce Central India’s rainfall deficit to below 60 per cent. The improvement, however, has barely changed the all-India shortfall, which remains at 42 per cent.

Forecasters expect a stronger monsoon phase next week, aided by a likely low-pressure area forming off the Odisha-Andhra Pradesh coast. India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) numerical weather model guidance shows it moving inland towards Telangana and Maharashtra through July 5, pulling the main rain belt with it.

Morning outlook for two regions given out by the IMD is as follows:

Outlook for West India 

Isolated very heavy rainfall also likely over Konkan and Goa on Sunday; isolated heavy today and tomorrow (Thursday and Friday) and for three days from Sunday; while isolated thunderstorms and lightning may hit the region for next four days. Isolated heavy rainfall is also likely over Madhya Maharashtra for next three days and on Tuesday next; and over Marathwada today (Thursday). 

Outlook for Central India

Isolated to scattered rainfall is likely over East Madhya Pradesh and West Madhya Pradesh for next six days; over Vidarbha tomorrow and day after (Friday and Saturday); and Chhattisgarh for for next four days. It will be fairly widespread to widespread over Vidarbha today (Thursday) and for three days from Sunday; and over Chhattisgarh on Monday and Tuesday. 

West coast rains

The renewed activity may also energise the west coast. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) projects moderate to heavy rain along much of the Konkan; Goa; coastal Karnataka and Kerala belt through June 30, linked to active conditions over Maharashtra and adjoining south Madhya Pradesh.

By then, monsoon rains are likely to have spread across Bihar; Uttar Pradesh; Haryana; Chandigarh; Uttarakhand; and Punjab. Delhi may see a near-on-time arrival around its normal onset date of June 30, though the advance could remain patchy. A similar outlook holds valid for adjoining parts of southern Uttar Pradesh.

Hit-or-miss for Delhi

Farther north and west, most of Jammu and Kashmir-Ladakh; Rajasthan; and northern Gujarat may have to wait longer for a sustained monsoon spell. In the south, much of Tamil Nadu is likely to remain relatively dry, except for districts bordering Kerala where scattered rain and thundershowers are forecast. 

Published on June 25, 2026