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Commodity Analysis News, Uncovering Market Trends | The HinduBusinessLine

Short Take: Bank of Baroda F&O adjustments F&O Strategy: Sell Ashok Leyland futures F&O Tracker: Firm resistance Mastering Derivatives: Trading without a model Bullion Cues: Weak persists in gold and silver futures Crude Check: Positive bias holds Short Take: Weather derivatives launched F&O Strategy: Long strangle on HPCL F&O Query: Analysis of ABB call option and Delhivery put option Mastering Derivatives: Nifty or individual stocks, that’s the question F&O Query: Analysis of Trent futures and SBIN call option Short Take: Bank of India F&O adjustments F&O Strategy: Buy Crompton Greaves futures Bullion Cues: Gold futures and silver futures to drop Crude Check: Oil futures set to break out F&O Tracker: Nifty futures and Nifty Bank futures face mounting pressure BTST trades: Futures or options? F&O Tracker: Support keeps bulls ahead Bet On Infosys Call for Pull Back Rally F&O Tracker: Split Signals Bullion Cues: Range-Bound Bias Crude Check: Range Holds F&O Query: Analysis Of Tata Consumer Futures And Titan Futures Mastering Derivatives | Futures Vs Options: Initiating Long Position During Expiry Week Mastering Derivatives: Mind The Margins F&O Strategy: Buy Tata Power Call Short Take: Vedanta F&O Reset On Demerger F&O Tracker: Supports To Act As Buffer Crude Check: Broad Range Holds Bullion Cues: Weak Bias Persists Bullion Cues: Hurdle Ahead Mastering Derivatives: Permitted Lot Size and Options Trading Crude Check: Minor Rebound Expected F&O Query: Analysis of Persistent Systems Futures And BSE Futures F&O Tracker: Bullish Momentum Sustains On Short Covering F&O Strategy: Buy Suzlon Energy Futures Short Take: Sammaan Capital To Exit F&O Mastering Derivatives: Does Lag Impact Effectiveness Of OI? Bullion Cues: Gold And Silver Futures Face Barrier F&O Tracker: Tentative Shift In Trend F&O Strategy: Buy L&T Put F&O Tracker: Bearish Undertone Persists Crude Check: Strength Intact Bullion Cues: Bounce Meets Resistance F&O Strategy: Buy Dixon Technologies Short Take: F&O Lot Size Revision Mastering Derivatives | Discerning option liquidity: Volumes vs OI F&O Tracker: Sell-On-Rise Bias Persists Bullion Cues: Recovery Lacks Strength Crude Check: Volatile But Firm Mastering Derivatives: Trigger Order For Initiating Option Position? F&O Strategy: Short Ashok Leyland Bullion Cues: Bear Dominance F&O Tracker: Resistance Holds Crude Check: Oil Holds Uptrend F&O Strategy Buy BEL Futures Mastering Derivatives: OCO For Trading Options? Crude Check: Oil Bulls Stay Firm Bullion Cues: Signs Of Weakness F&O Strategy: Buy ICICI Bank Call F&O Tracker: Bears Stay In Control Mastering Derivatives At The Margin: Short Call Vs Bear Call Spread F&O Strategy: Buy HAL put Crude Check: Bulls Firmly In Control Bullion Cues: Gains Ahead F&O Tracker: Bear Game Not Over Mastering Derivatives: Short Futures Vs Synthetic Short Mastering Derivatives | Call Spread: Near-Week Vs Next-Week Options Crude Check: Upward Bias Intact F&O Tracker: Fall Ahead Bullion Cues: Run-Up To Continue F&O Strategy: Short Angel One futures Crude Check: Eyes more gains F&O Tracker: Bulls Hold Edge Bullion Cues: Signs Of A Rally Mastering Derivatives: Managing Delivery Risk On Bull Call Spread Short Take: Angel One F&O Adjustments F&O Query: Analysis For Maruti Call Options And Voltas Call Options F&O Strategy: Buy NTPC March Call F&O Strategy: Buy TVS Motor Call Mastering Derivatives: Do Puts Hedge? F&O Query: Should You Short Titan Futures? Crude Check: Breakout In Sight Short Take: ONGC F&O Contract Adjustments Bullion Cues: No Trade Zone F&O Tracker: Support Lines On Trial F&O Query: Analysis of HDFC Bank call options Mastering Derivatives: Determining The Economics Of Arbitrage Trades F&O Tracker: Hinges On A Support F&O Strategy: Buy Sun Pharma Call Bullion Cues: Pause In Trend Crude Check: On Breakout Watch Bullion & Crude: Outlook uncertain F&O Tracker: Nifty futures & Nifty Bank futures could see higher volatility F&O Strategy: Buy Nifty Next 50 futures Short Take: Wipro F&O Contract Adjustments F&O Tracker: Downside Risks Rise Crude Check: Upward bias Bullion Cues: Rally Stays On Track Mastering Derivatives: Call Vs Put Butterfly
Mastering Derivatives: Choosing The Immediate OTM Strike
2026-01-31 · via Commodity Analysis News, Uncovering Market Trends | The HinduBusinessLine

Trading futures is relatively easy compared to options. For one, futures move nearly one-to-one with the underlying. So, all the trading tools used for stocks can be applied on futures prices. For another, the choice of contract is simple: you pick the near-month contract unless you want to set up a spread trade. Trading options, on the other hand, is more complicated. This is because options suffer from time decay. So, you must balance the loss in time decay with the probability of the option ending in-the-money (ITM). This week, we discuss why you can choose the immediate out-of-the-money (OTM) strike to initiate a long call position when you have positive view on the underlying.

Delta-theta trade-off

An option’s time value will become zero at expiry. So, the amount you pay today for time value will be your loss if you hold the option till expiry. Your objective then would be to pay only so much for time value that is required to trade gainfully. That means whatever you lose through time value should be made up through delta gains. Delta is the change in the option price for a one-point change in the underlying price. The strike that you buy must have just enough delta to push it from OTM to ITM when the underlying moves up.

Importantly, you should not buy a strike that is ITM because there is no benefit in paying full price for an option’s intrinsic value. Rather, you should buy the strike that has no intrinsic value now but will become ITM as the underlying moves up. Why? Intrinsic value moves one-to-one with the underlying. So, the gains from intrinsic value can more than offset for the loss in time value. The strike that can offer this trade-off is the immediate OTM strike. So, you should check the price of the underlying and pick the strike immediately above it. The delta of this option will often be close to 0.50. Technically, that would be the at-the-money (ATM) strike. Note that the option’s delta will increase and move towards one as the strike becomes more ITM. You should, however, close your position when the strike is ITM by not more than 150-200 points for the Nifty Index options. This is because liquidity of strikes decline, as options become more ITM. And liquidity is important to close positions at a fair price, as options you buy on the NSE are European and can be exercised only at expiry.

Optional reading

There are other benefits of buying the immediate OTM strike. As an ATM strike, it will have high vega and gamma. That means the option will change the most if implied volatility explodes. The higher gamma value means that the option’s delta will rise faster when the underlying moves up and will fall slowly when the underlying declines. The flip side is that the option will carry high time value that totally decays at expiry.

(The author offers training programmes for individuals to manage their personal investments)

Published on January 31, 2026