惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

H
Help Net Security
G
Google Developers Blog
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
博客园 - 聂微东
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
小众软件
小众软件
Stack Overflow Blog
Stack Overflow Blog
美团技术团队
博客园_首页
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
B
Blog
D
DataBreaches.Net
腾讯CDC
C
Check Point Blog
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
U
Unit 42
月光博客
月光博客
V
V2EX
Vercel News
Vercel News
T
The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
The Cloudflare Blog
博客园 - 叶小钗
Y
Y Combinator Blog

stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Short-Term Load Forecasting Using AMI Data
Haris Mansoor, Sarwan Ali, Imdadullah Khan, Naveed Arshad, Muham · 2019-12-29 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Accurate short-term load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of the power sector. Forecasting load at a fine granularity such as hourly loads of individual households is challenging due to higher volatility and inherent stochasticity. At the aggregate levels, such as monthly load at a grid, the uncertainties and fluctuations are averaged out; hence predicting load is more straightforward. This paper proposes a method called Forecasting using Matrix Factorization (\textsc{fmf}) for short-term load forecasting (\textsc{stlf}). \textsc{fmf} only utilizes historical data from consumers' smart meters to forecast future loads (does not use any non-calendar attributes, consumers' demographics or activity patterns information, etc.) and can be applied to any locality. A prominent feature of \textsc{fmf} is that it works at any level of user-specified granularity, both in the temporal (from a single hour to days) and spatial dimensions (a single household to groups of consumers). We empirically evaluate \textsc{fmf} on three benchmark datasets and demonstrate that it significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in terms of load forecasting. The computational complexity of \textsc{fmf} is also substantially less than known methods for \textsc{stlf} such as long short-term memory neural networks, random forest, support vector machines, and regression trees.