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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Nonlinear Assimilation via Score-based Sequential Langevi...
Zhao Ding, Chenguang Duan, Yuling Jiao, Jerry Zhijian Yang, Chen · 2024-11-21 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

This paper introduces score-based sequential Langevin sampling (SSLS), a novel approach to nonlinear data assimilation within a recursive Bayesian filtering framework. The proposed method decomposes the assimilation process into alternating prediction and update steps, using dynamic models for state prediction and incorporating observational data via score-based Langevin Monte Carlo during the updates. To overcome inherent challenges in highly non-log-concave posterior sampling, we integrate an annealing strategy into the update mechanism. Theoretically, we establish convergence guarantees for SSLS in total variation (TV) distance, yielding concrete insights into the algorithm's error behavior with respect to key hyperparameters. Crucially, our derived error bounds demonstrate the asymptotic stability of SSLS, guaranteeing that local posterior sampling errors do not accumulate indefinitely over time. Extensive numerical experiments across challenging scenarios, including high-dimensional systems, strong nonlinearity, and sparse observations, highlight the robust performance of the proposed method. Furthermore, SSLS effectively quantifies the uncertainty associated with state estimates, rendering it particularly valuable for reliable error calibration.