惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

雷峰网
雷峰网
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
Google DeepMind News
Google DeepMind News
V
V2EX
T
The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
Hugging Face - Blog
Hugging Face - Blog
Stack Overflow Blog
Stack Overflow Blog
I
InfoQ
博客园_首页
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
Last Week in AI
Last Week in AI
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
Vercel News
Vercel News
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
美团技术团队
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
GbyAI
GbyAI
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
J
Java Code Geeks

cs.SI updates on arXiv.org

Hiding in Plain Sight: Finding MAHA on Reddit Prism: Structural Symmetry Scanning via Duality-Constrained Laplacian Projection MV-Gate: Insider Threat Detection via Multi-View Behavioral Statistics and Semantic Modeling Algorithmic Cultivation: How Social Media Feeds Shape User Language Universal Dynamics of Punctuated Progress AI-Mediated Communication Can Steer Collective Opinion CitePrism: Human-in-the-Loop AI for Citation Auditing and Editorial Integrity Explainable Detection of Depression Status Shifts from User Digital Traces Can Visual Mamba Improve AI-Generated Image Detection? An In-Depth Investigation ScioMind: Cognitively Grounded Multi-Agent Social Simulation with Anchoring-Based Belief Dynamics and Dynamic Profiles Humanwashing -- It Should Leave You Feeling Dirty When Do LLMs Generate Realistic Social Networks? A Multi-Dimensional Study of Culture, Language, Scale, and Method Moltbook Moderation: Uncovering Hidden Intent Through Multi-Turn Dialogue Linking Extreme Discourse to Structural Polarization in Signed Interaction Networks Predicting Channel Closures in the Lightning Network with Machine Learning Latent Causal Void: Explicit Missing-Context Reconstruction for Misinformation Detection Predictive Maps of Multi-Agent Reasoning: A Successor-Representation Spectrum for LLM Communication Topologies Large Language Models for Causal Relations Extraction in Social Media: A Validation Framework for Disaster Intelligence When Can Digital Personas Reliably Approximate Human Survey Findings? RAwR: Role-Aware Rewiring via Approximate Equitable Partition GravityGraphSAGE: Link Prediction in Directed Attributed Graphs Structure-Centric Graph Foundation Model via Geometric Bases Attention-based graph neural networks: a survey When AI Meets Science: Research Diversity, Interdisciplinarity, Visibility, and Retractions across Disciplines in a Global Surge Scalable inference of spatial regions and temporal signatures from time series Can LLMs Emulate Human Belief Dynamics? Predicting Post Virality with Temporal Cross-Attention over Trend Signals H3: A Healthcare Three-Hop Index for Physician Referral Network Prediction Dynamic Graph with Similarity-Aware Attention Graph Neural Network for Recommender Systems Spectral Graph Sparsification Preserves Representation Geometry in Graph Neural Networks
140 Characters to Victory?: Using Twitter to Predict the ...
Pete Burnap, Rachel Gibson, Luke Sloan, Rosalynd Southern, Matth · 2015-05-07 · via cs.SI updates on arXiv.org

The election forecasting 'industry' is a growing one, both in the volume of scholars producing forecasts and methodological diversity. In recent years a new approach has emerged that relies on social media and particularly Twitter data to predict election outcomes. While some studies have shown the method to hold a surprising degree of accuracy there has been criticism over the lack of consistency and clarity in the methods used, along with inevitable problems of population bias. In this paper we set out a 'baseline' model for using Twitter as an election forecasting tool that we then apply to the UK 2015 General Election. The paper builds on existing literature by extending the use of Twitter as a forecasting tool to the UK context and identifying its limitations, particularly with regard to its application in a multi-party environment with geographic concentration of power for minor parties.