Vizing's theorem guarantees that every graph with maximum degree $Δ$ admits an edge coloring using $Δ+ 1$ colors. In online settings - where edges arrive one at a time and must be colored immediately - a simple greedy algorithm uses at most $2Δ- 1$ colors. Over thirty years ago, Bar-Noy, Motwani, and Naor [IPL'92] proved that this guarantee is optimal among deterministic algorithms when $Δ= O(\log n)$, and among randomized algorithms when $Δ= O(\sqrt{\log n})$. While deterministic improvements seemed out of reach, they conjectured that for graphs with $Δ= ω(\log n)$, randomized algorithms can achieve $(1 + o(1))Δ$ edge coloring. This conjecture was recently resolved in the affirmative: a $(1 + o(1))Δ$-coloring is achievable online using randomization for all graphs with $Δ= ω(\log n)$ [BSVW STOC'24]. Our results go further, uncovering two findings not predicted by the original conjecture. First, we give a deterministic online algorithm achieving $(1 + o(1))Δ$-colorings for all $Δ= ω(\log n)$. Second, we give a randomized algorithm achieving $(1 + o(1))Δ$-colorings already when $Δ= ω(\sqrt{\log n})$. Our results establish sharp thresholds for when greedy can be surpassed, and near-optimal guarantees can be achieved - matching the impossibility results of [BNMN IPL'92], both deterministically and randomly.