Just over a week ago, 16 teams began their NBA playoff journeys, as the marathon for the Larry O’Brien Trophy began with four series in each conference. Tonight, those 16 could be cut down to 14, as the Oklahoma City Thunder have a chance to close out the Phoenix Suns and the Minnesota Timberwolves can do the same to the Denver Nuggets.

The only game of tonight’s three that isn’t an elimination game is the opener, with the Orlando Magic and the Detroit Pistons starting the action off at 8 p.m. ET. The eighth-seeded Magic currently lead the series 2-1, seeking to become the seventh No. 8 seed to knock off a No. 1 seed. Right now, Detroit is still a -130 favorite to win the series, but that would certainly flip if Orlando can take a 3-1 lead.

There are hundreds of prop bets available for today’s three pivotal games at DraftKings Sportsbook. I’ve gone through and picked my three favorites, with one from each game.

Top NBA prop bet picks

Paolo Banchero 30+ Points + Assists (+146)

Banchero hasn’t quite broken out into the superstar that some expected him to be after his freshman season at Duke, but these playoffs, he’s offered glimpses of his sky-high potential. At six-foot-10 and 250 pounds, he has the ideal frame to bruise his way downhill and get to the free throw line at will, and he’s a capable secondary playmaker. Only four players played at least 65 games and averaged 20 points, eight rebounds, and five assists per game during the regular season, and the others were all named All-Stars. Banchero had at least 30 points/assists 30 times during the regular season and again during Game 3.

The Pistons’ elite defense hasn’t quite translated so far this series. During the regular season, Detroit allowed the third-fewest points and the fewest assists per game, but so far this series, it’s allowed merely the fifth-fewest points and the seventh-fewest assists per game among the 16 playoff teams. The Pistons have predominantly guarded Banchero with Tobias Harris — who ranked in just the 21st percentile in total contests per 100 possessions and below-average in stop percentage during the regular season — and it hasn’t worked, as Banchero has recorded 20 points and nine assists in his 92.7 partial possessions against Harris. Unless J.B. Bickerstaff switches up the matchups and puts Ausar Thompson on Banchero instead, he should be in a position to continue cooking.

Ajay Mitchell 2+ Three-Pointers Made (+125)

Mitchell, a second-year pro and the fifth-place finisher in Sixth Man of the Year voting, re-entered the starting lineup in Game 3 after Jalen Williams went down with his third hamstring injury of the season. While he didn’t have a very good game, shooting just five-for-20 from the field and one-for-five from deep, his willingness to shoot is a positive sign for the Thunder. He isn’t the best three-point shooter on team — among Oklahoma City players with at least 100 regular-season attempts, his 34.7% accuracy ranked ninth — but two triples isn’t a particularly high bar, especially for a starter. He had at least two in seven of his 16 starts.

Phoenix did an excellent job closing out on opposing three-point shooters during the regular season, but it hasn’t done such a good job so far this series. In fact, among the playoff participants, only the Philadelphia 76ers have allowed more wide-open threes per game. That could benefit Mitchell, who’s attempted at least three wide-open triples in all three of the contests. After making three of his four uncontested tries in Game 1, he went just one-for-six on such shots in Games 2 and 3 combined, but given that he shot 35.4% on such shots during the regular season, his performance in Games 2 and 3 is probably anomalous. The Suns have guarded him mostly with Jalen Green, who has never finished above the median in total shots contested per 100 possessions in his career.

Julius Randle 25+ Points (+168)

Despite going up 3-1, the Timberwolves’ grasp on the series isn’t very secure because of their dire injury situation. They suffered back-to-back blows in quick succession during Game 3, with Donte DiVincenzo tearing his Achilles in the first quarter and Anthony Edwards sustaining a bone bruise in his knee in the second quarter. As a result, Randle will have to step up as the No. 1 option, and he’s done so this season, averaging 24.1 points per game in the 21 games in which Edwards either didn’t play or left in the first quarter. He topped the 25-point mark nine times (+133 implied odds), and it’s likely that his usage rate will go up without DiVincenzo, too.

Denver has held Randle to fewer than 25 points in each of the four games so far, but it’s just not a very impressive defensive squad overall. The Nuggets finished just 21st in defensive rating during the regular season, and while their offense has been the primary issue this series, they still rank just 11th among the 16 playoff participants on defense. Randle has drawn a fairly tough assignment in Aaron Gordon, Denver’s best individual defender, but Gordon ranked in just the 37th percentile in total contests per 100 possessions and had just a 1.5% stop percentage during the regular season. His calf has also given him consistent issues throughout the season, so there’s no guarantee he plays the whole game.