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NBA Best Bets: Spurs vs. Thunder Top Prop Bets for Game 1 Monday 5/18/26
Sean Barnard · 2026-05-19 · via DraftKings Network

Sean Barnard breaks down his top player prop picks for Monday’s NBA playoff matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder.

Just four teams remain in the NBA playoffs. The Spurs and Thunder kick off the conference finals on Monday, May 18. These have been the two best teams in the conference all year, each winning at least 62 games in the regular season, and a budding rivalry is developing between the franchises. 

The Thunder are 6.5-point favorites and -245 on the moneyline on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Spurs are +200 underdogs, with the game total set at 221.5 points.

You can check out a full preview and prediction for the matchup on DraftKings Network. But for now, let’s dive into the top player prop bets for Game 1.

Spurs vs. Thunder Best Prop Bets

Lu Dort Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-121)

While defense will always be Dort’s calling card, his growth as a three-point shooter has been crucial to unlocking the full potential of this Thunder team. He averaged 8.3 points while shooting 34.4% from deep in 26.8 minutes per game in the regular season. Dort’s upped his percentage to 37.5% in the postseason, and reached 41.2% and 39.4% in the last two regular seasons.

Oklahoma City is stacked with offensive talent, so it’s impossible to stop everyone. Teams have been willing to sag off of Dort, given the alternatives, so the scrappy perimeter defender punished them. Across the postseason thus far, Dort has knocked down over 1.5 made three-pointers in six of the eight games. Expect San Antonio to prioritize the greater offensive threats and for Dort to hit a pair of threes as a result.

Victor Wembanyama Over 24.5 Points (-116)

San Antonio deserves credit for building a contender with great depth in the Western Conference. Even with so much young talent on the team, the franchise still revolves around Wembanyama. The 2025-26 Defensive Player of the Year averaged 25 points, 11.5 rebounds, 3.1 blocks and 3.1 assists in the regular season. He scored over 24.5 points in 34 of 64 games. The 22-year-old is averaging 20.3 points, 10.7 rebounds and 4.1 blocks per game in 10 playoff games—this includes two early exits (concussion and ejection) in previous games. If you take away those games, Wembanyama is averaging 24.3 points per game in the postseason.

Although Oklahoma City boasts one of the fiercest defenses in the league, Wembanyama is an anomaly at 7-foot-4. He’ll need to be the difference maker in this series, and has proven capable of this in previous series. The Spurs superstar scored as many as 39 points in a game this postseason and recorded over 24.5 points in four games. The Spurs will only go as far as Wembanyama takes them, so expect him to make a strong statement with over 24.5 points tonight.

Dylan Harper Over 10.5 Points (-129)

Harper’s emergence in this playoff run as been exciting. The 2025 No. 2 pick averaged 11.8 points, 3.9 assists and 3.4 rebounds across 22.6 minutes per game in the regular season. He’s taken a step forward in the playoffs, averaging 13.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists in 25.2 minutes per game. After scoring over 10.5 points in 43 of 69 regular-season games, Harper has tallied 11+ points in seven of 11 playoff games. 

San Antonio is 4-1 against Oklahoma City this season, with the Spurs looking like a bad matchup for the defending champions. A large part of this is due to the variety of ball-handlers that the Spurs have. Harper is a key part of this and has proven to be ready for big moments. He averaged 14.7 points per game in the second round and has tallied as many as 27 points in a postseason game.

De’Aaron Fox is questionable with right ankle soreness, so Harper could see a larger role in Game 1. Expect San Antonio to keep multiple ball-handlers on the court at all times, given the Thunder’s perimeter defense. I am backing Harper to continue his strong postseason scoring streak by recording over 10.5 points. Additionally, I’m taking him to score 15+ at +243 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook, which he has hit in five of his last 10 playoff games.