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South China Morning Post

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Opinion | Flexible dual-use claims could be new global tr...
Zohaib Altaf · 2026-04-24 · via South China Morning Post

On Sunday, the US Navy seized the Iranian-flagged cargo vessel Touska. It happened in the middle of a US pressure campaign on Tehran after Washington had expanded blockade enforcement and warned that vessels suspected of carrying goods that provide support to Iran could be stopped. The ship, travelling from China via Malaysia, was suspected of carrying components deemed dual-use.

In the immediate context, the label served a wartime purpose, but the significance of the episode goes beyond one ship or one crisis. The seizure of the Touska did not create the dual-use problem. Instead, it exposed how easily wartime pressure can push what appears to be ordinary commercial cargo into a category that is becoming harder to precisely define.

Modern conflict helps explain why the dual-use category has widened so much. A Royal United Services Institute report found more than 450 foreign-made components in Russian weapons recovered in Ukraine, while separate reporting identified more than 15,000 shipments of Western electronic components that reached Russia after the invasion. Many of these were commercially available parts and not obviously military items, showing how ordinary goods circulating through civilian supply chains can still end up serving wartime functions.

On the trade side, the European Commission reported that authorised European Union dual-use exports rose from €38.5 billion (US$45.2 billion) in 2021 to €57.3 billion in 2022, while export denials increased from 568 to 831. These figures do not show that all trade is dual-use. They do show that a growing share of commercially ordinary industrial and technology-intensive cargo now carries potential strategic relevance.

Once that possibility spreads across wider categories of goods, the problem shifts from existence to interpretation. Metals, electronics, machine parts, sensors and software might all be commercially legitimate while still being vulnerable to strategic suspicion. Genuine proliferation risks do exist, which is why dual-use controls cannot simply be dismissed. Problems emerge when the category becomes elastic enough that ordinary commerce can be recast at short notice as strategically actionable. The more consequential question is therefore no longer whether dual-use concerns are real. It is who gets to define them, on what evidence and with what limits.

01:28

US forces seize Iranian ship as Tehran says it has no plans to join peace talks

US forces seize Iranian ship as Tehran says it has no plans to join peace talks

Other episodes show why that question is no longer theoretical. In December 2025, a US special operations team intercepted a vessel heading from China to Iran in the Indian Ocean and seized articles thought to have civilian and military applications. In March 2024, India seized a Pakistan-bound shipment that it said contained dual-use equipment, while Pakistan said the consignment was a commercial import intended for automobile parts and called the seizure unjustified.