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A Forensic Analysis of Synthetic Data in RL: Diagnosing a...
Brett Barkle · 2026-05-08 · via cs.LG updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Synthetic data is central to data-efficient Dyna-style model-based reinforcement learning, but it can also degrade performance. We study this failure in Model-Based Policy Optimization (MBPO), which performs actor-critic updates using model-generated synthetic state transitions. Although MBPO reports strong sample-efficiency gains on OpenAI Gym, recent work shows that it often underperforms Soft Actor-Critic (SAC), its non-Dyna base, in the DeepMind Control Suite (DMC), despite both suites involving MuJoCo-based proprioceptive continuous control. We identify two coupled causes of this collapse: scale mismatch between dynamics and reward targets, which suppresses reward learning and induces critic underestimation, and residual next-state prediction, which inflates model variance and produces unreliable synthetic transitions. We introduce Fixing That Free Lunch (FTFL), a minimal repair that combines independent target normalization with direct next-state prediction. FTFL outperforms SAC in five of seven previously failing DMC tasks while preserving MBPO's strong Gym performance. We further show that MBPO-lineage algorithms, including uncertainty-aware variants that filter, penalize, or reject synthetic transitions based on model uncertainty, still inherit these failures unless FTFL is applied to their shared learned-model backbone. More broadly, our results show how benchmark-limited evaluation can encode environment-specific assumptions into algorithm design, motivating taxonomies that map MDP structure to algorithmic failure modes.
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2510.01457 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2510.01457v4 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2510.01457

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Brett Barkley [view email]
[v1] Wed, 1 Oct 2025 20:54:51 UTC (10,572 KB)
[v2] Fri, 3 Oct 2025 16:23:36 UTC (10,572 KB)
[v3] Fri, 30 Jan 2026 22:39:31 UTC (10,561 KB)
[v4] Thu, 7 May 2026 03:46:04 UTC (10,645 KB)