惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

博客园 - 叶小钗
爱范儿
爱范儿
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
Last Week in AI
Last Week in AI
博客园 - 聂微东
雷峰网
雷峰网
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
博客园 - Franky
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
博客园_首页
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
博客园 - 司徒正美
月光博客
月光博客
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
The Cloudflare Blog
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
人人都是产品经理
人人都是产品经理
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
罗磊的独立博客
Jina AI
Jina AI

cs.LG updates on arXiv.org

Memory-Guided Trust-Region Bayesian Optimization (MG-TuRBO) for High Dimensions EngageTriBoost: Predictive Modeling of User Engagement in Digital Mental Health Intervention Using Explainable Machine Learning Reservoir observer enhanced with residual calibration and attention mechanism Efficient RL Training for LLMs with Experience Replay Wireless Communication Enhanced Value Decomposition for Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Adversarial Sensor Errors for Safe and Robust Wind Turbine Fleet Control IKKA: Inversion Classification via Critical Anomalies for Robust Visual Servoing Adaptive Simulation Experiment for LLM Policy Optimization EvoLen: Evolution-Guided Tokenization for DNA Language Model Smartwatch-Based Sitting Time Estimation in Real-World Office Settings Structural Evaluation Metrics for SVG Generation via Leave-One-Out Analysis Loom: A Scalable Analytical Neural Computer Architecture Spectral Geometry of LoRA Adapters Encodes Training Objective and Predicts Harmful Compliance Finite-Sample Analysis of Nonlinear Independent Component Analysis:Sample Complexity and Identifiability Bounds How does Chain of Thought decompose complex tasks? Uncertainty-Aware Transformers: Conformal Prediction for Language Models Adaptive Candidate Point Thompson Sampling for High-Dimensional Bayesian Optimization Using Synthetic Data for Machine Learning-based Childhood Vaccination Prediction in Narok, Kenya Delve into the Applicability of Advanced Optimizers for Multi-Task Learning Bridging SFT and RL: Dynamic Policy Optimization for Robust Reasoning Multi-Agent Decision-Focused Learning via Value-Aware Sequential Communication Predictive Entropy Links Calibration and Paraphrase Sensitivity in Medical Vision-Language Models Efficient Hierarchical Implicit Flow Q-learning for Offline Goal-conditioned Reinforcement Learning Modality-Aware Zero-Shot Pruning and Sparse Attention for Efficient Multimodal Edge Inference The nextAI Solution to the NeurIPS 2023 LLM Efficiency Challenge Feature-Label Modal Alignment for Robust Partial Multi-Label Learning Integrated electro-optic attention nonlinearities for transformers Toward World Models for Epidemiology Tracing the Chain: Deep Learning for Stepping-Stone Intrusion Detection Batch Distillation Data for Developing Machine Learning Anomaly Detection Methods
In-context learning to predict critical transitions in dy...
Yunus Sevinc · 2026-05-13 · via cs.LG updates on arXiv.org

View PDF HTML (experimental)

Abstract:Critical transitions - abrupt, often irreversible changes in system dynamics - arise across human and natural systems, often with catastrophic consequences. Real-world observations of such shifts remain scarce, preventing the development of reliable early warning systems. Conventional statistical and spectral indicators, such as increasing variance, tend to fail under realistic conditions of limited data and correlated noise, whereas existing deep learning classifiers do not extrapolate beyond their training data distribution. In this work, we introduce TipPFN, an in-context learning (ICL) framework that uses a prior-data fitted network to infer a system's proximity to a critical transition. Trained on our novel synthetic data generator, which is based on canonical bifurcation scenarios coupled to diverse, randomized stochastic dynamics, TipPFN flexibly capitalizes on contexts of various sizes, complexity and dimensionalities. We demonstrate robust, state-of-the-art early detection of critical transitions in previously unseen tipping regimes, sim-to-real examples, and real-world observations in both ICL and zero-shot settings.
Comments: 14+38 pages, 5+23 figures
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2605.12308 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2605.12308v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.12308

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Benjamin Herdeanu [view email]
[v1] Tue, 12 May 2026 15:56:03 UTC (3,573 KB)