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"We do not see any impact of El Niño on the chilli crop, as it can be grown under relatively dry conditions. With prices ruling firm, farmers are expected to expand acreage across all major growing States in the South as well as Madhya Pradesh. We expect acreage this year to be similar to that of 2024, when chilli was grown over a record area," said Velagapudi Sambasiva Rao, President, Chilli Exporters Association, Guntur.
Last year, farmers had reduced the area under chilli as returns were hit by a bumper crop and lower prices. However, the current price levels have revived farmer interest in the crop.

"This year, prices of export varieties such as Teja and Armoor have increased by around 30 per cent, while domestic varieties such as 334 and Super 10, which are widely used by households, have gained about 20 per cent. However, prices of powder varieties such as DD and 341, largely used by spice processing companies, are down about 20 per cent as powder manufacturers are yet to begin fresh procurement due to weak sales during the rainy season. They are likely to step up purchases from August," Rao said.
Lower carry-forward stocks are also supporting prices. Rao estimated current carry-forward stocks at around 1.46 crore bags of 40 kg each, significantly lower than the 2.29 crore bags held during the corresponding period last year.
“We expect chilli acreage to increase by around 30 per cent this year," said Sachin Nandwana, Co-founder of agritech platform BigHaat, based on trends in seed sales on the platform. Nandwana said sales of chilli seeds have risen by 10-12 per cent for some leading brands, with demand largely emanating from southern States. While erratic rainfall and the delayed monsoon remain concerns, demand for chilli seeds is expected to rise further with the onset of rains. Sowing is likely to continue till the end of August, he said.
Basavaraj Hampali, trader and Founder of SpicExtra, Hubballi, said farmers in North Karnataka are also showing greater interest in chilli cultivation this season. Rains in the Dharwad region, where the high-colour, low-pungency Byadgi variety is predominantly grown, have been delayed by around 15 days.
"Delayed rains usually prompt farmers to choose either cotton or chilli. This year, more farmers appear to be opting for chilli because of better prices, and seed sales are reportedly strong," Hampali said.
Strong seed demand is also keeping prices of Byadgi chillies firm at ₹600-700 per kg for varieties such as KDL and Dabbi, he added.
"We had expected the new crop to arrive by November, but delayed rains are likely to push arrivals to December," Hampali said.
Published on June 25, 2026
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