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Economy News, Latest Economic News Today | The HinduBusinessLine

GE, HAL clinch tech deal on joint jet engine plan India rejects USTR allegations, seeks termination of Section 301 probe US Ambassador meets Oil Minister Puri over expanding energy purchases Indian automobile sales record highest-ever sales in FY26, first time after FY19: SIAM Madhya Pradesh CM says basmati rice from the State is exported to 47 nations 63 Moons’ cybersecurity arm pilots GPS-spoofing solution at Indian airports Highways ministry notifies amendment to streamline fee for overloaded vehicles on NHs Global aviation crisis deepens as fuel shortage, Iran conflict hit airlines TRI launches agri-voltaic project to help farmers earn double income Hotel industry to hit $31 billion in 2029; listed hotel firms set to add 70k rooms by 2030: CBRE Temperatures may trend up over North-West, Central India until weekend Reduction in airport tariff credit neutral, minimal impact on revenue: Ind-Ra Global coffee prices rise as fertiliser costs and West Asia tensions threaten supply Bluspring Enterprises to acquire LSG Sky Chefs India, enters aviation catering sector China says policy to improve relations with India remains unchanged amid Arunachal naming row Research firms divided over impact of below normal monsoon on food inflation Unnat Krishi Mahotsav concludes, farmers to emerge as energy, fuel & hydrogen providers, says Gadkari Airlines may get ₹5,000 crore credit support under proposed ECLGS variant How kashmir’s breakthrough is making Gucchi mushroom farming possible Centre not taking away State’s power on bonus for agri produces, says FM Sitharaman Carriers cut flights on cost pressures, uncertain demand GE Aerospace scales AI from pilots to production; India anchors global capability West Asia crisis may push India’s current account deficit to 2% of GDP: Crisil Tax Dept to resume Tiger Global reassessment, says GAAR relief won’t alter SC ruling Ceasefire talks fail to restore vessel movement in Strait of Hormuz, fate of 599 ships remain inconclusive DMRC launches mid-life refurbishment of Blue Line trains to enhance safety and passenger experience Retail inflation likely rose 3.5-4% in March India-UK free trade pact may come into force from second week of May: Official 'West Asia war a good opportunity for energy reforms, lower costs for industry' India’s marine exports surge to ₹62,408 crore in 2024-25, Govt sets ₹1 lakh crore target PM Modi to inaugurate Dehradun-Delhi Expressway on April 14 India’s economic growth journey huge opportunity for international partners: Kwatra From diesel to daylight: How government solar schemes are powering India’s farmers The next energy leap: Replicating ethanol’s success in diesel Delhi EV Policy: Electric 3-Wheelers Only by 2027, 2-Wheelers by 2028 Windfall levy on export bound diesel, ATF raised India-flagged LPG tanker Jag Vikram crosses Strait of Hormuz after US-Iran ceasefire Muted pricing power, rising costs to curb benefits of demand in cement sector: HDFC Securities Central Railway to run four special local trains for Ambedkar Jayanti Cotton Association revises output estimates for 2025-26 up at 324 lakh bales of 170 kg each Agtech marketing in the age of regional content and creator communities Rajnath Singh, Nitin Gadkari to join 3-day agri event at Shivraj’s home turf, inaugurated today How agripreneurship will drive improved rural livelihoods in India World’s largest tur producer, yet an importer: A self-sufficiency puzzle unfolding on ground Ethanol in diesel generators: India’s next practical step towards energy security How sustainable sourcing can unlock value in India’s agri-value chains West Asia Crisis: Induction cooking may consume 13-27 GW power Govt defers power plant maintenance for three months; ready for summer demand Tractor sales cross 10 lakh mark in FY26 on strong rural demand, GST cut India to continue buying Russian crude oil India’s textile and garments exports to the US declined 28.7% in February 2026 West Asia conflict: LPG usage at 21-month low in March E-way bill generation surged all time high of over 14 crore in March Cotton prices firm up tracking global prices Corn prices poised to fall on Iran-US ceasefire pact Air India at critical stage of transformation: Tata Sons Chairman FYL91 commences new flights to Hyderabad, Rajahmundry and Vijayawada Telangana’s GST revenue up 15% in last 3 months ASMS launches agri-commerce network AYOU in Hyderabad Ladakh turns to apricot blossoms to stretch short tourism season Govt proposes overhaul of company incorporation rules to cut paperwork, enable risk-based checks HAL delivers 4 helicopters to Coast Guard Charter services operators urge review of ATF pricing Structural gaps affect growth of India’s high-value horticulture sector: Report Rubio set to visit India in May to discuss trade, tariffs, defence, Quad DGFT rolls out procedure for allocation of calcined coke Qatar vows to remain reliable energy supplier to India amid West Asia tensions Gadkari bats for 100% land acquisition before approving NH projects India must rethink West Asia energy reliance after biggest shock in decades, says ONGC chief Sumeet SSG partners Pinnacle Industries to strengthen Maharashtra’s EMS fleet Consumer durables growth muted as demand slows, margins shrink: HDFC Securities March 2026 was the fourth-warmest month on record, says European weather agency India relaxes rice exports norms to some European countries Unseasonal rains damage rabi crops on 2.49 lakh ha, wheat most affected: Agri Minister ADB projects 6.9% growth rate for current fiscal, 70 bps lower than FY26 India-UK FTA likely by May 1; EU trade deal expected by year-end Dubai limits foreign flights until May 31, letters show, hitting Indian airlines hardest India in talks with 20 more countries to open market access: Piyush Goyal ADB ups India's FY27 growth projections to 6.9% Iran control of Strait of Hormuz in focus as tanker turns back, Trump raises concerns India mulls creating 30-day LPG strategic reserve Fire at Mumbai airport terminal delays flights Lesson from West Asia conflict is to factor-in adverse scenarios while framing policies: Oil Secretary Maharashtra government expands agricultural oversight structure Surging Raw Material Costs Hit PVC and Packaging Industries Hard Unseasonal rain, hailstorms, may drag Indian wheat output by over 5% Milky Mist beats FY26 targets, IPO on track, says CEO Delegation to visit Washington as India, US look to revive trade deal talks Only 10% of Indian key reservoirs are filled over 80% IMF warns of deepening global food crisis as fertilizer prices surge Yara India to ramp up digital strategy to strengthen retailer connectivity War-induced risks cushioned by ample buffer for India: World Bank DGS issues direct pass-through of port concessions to exporters amid West Asia crisis Israel allows import of Indian okra seeds, wants virus-free declaration India now seen as ‘safe anchor’, offers stability, predictability and prospects: Shaktikanta Das CropLife asks farmers to tap zaid season window after rabi loss and below normal monsoon ahead Indian trade delegation to visit Washington this month Construction equipment sales fall 13 per cent in FY26 on project delays, weak execution: FADA El Niño threat puts brakes on FY27 auto growth as rural demand risks rise Indian govt hikes NBS fertilizer rates for kharif season by up to 21% to ₹41,533.81 crore
Why India’s ₹5 pack won’t disappear, but getting smaller
2026-04-10 · via Economy News, Latest Economic News Today | The HinduBusinessLine
India’s FMCG companies are responding to rising input costs by reducing pack sizes while retaining key ₹5 and ₹10 price points critical to rural consumption.

India’s FMCG companies are responding to rising input costs by reducing pack sizes while retaining key ₹5 and ₹10 price points critical to rural consumption.

The ₹5 biscuit pack has survived demonetisation, GST, Covid, and three commodity price spikes over the past decade. Now, with crude above $100 a barrel, palm oil supplies tightening, and polymer prices rising sharply, it will survive this one, too.

It will just weigh less.

India’s FMCG companies are in the middle of a fresh cost squeeze. Nuvama Institutional Equities has warned that the current commodity basket could shave off 100–250 basis points from gross margins if companies do not act. EY India’s Angshuman Bhattacharya, Partner and National Leader, Consumer Products and Retail, describes it as a “system-wide cost surge” likely to translate into higher MRPs or grammage cuts.

Dhairyashil Patil, National President, All India Consumer Products Distributors Federation (AICPDF), told BusinessLine that FMCG companies’ grammage reduction strategy is a “silent killer” — protecting margins while quietly eroding consumer value, as buyers chasing ₹5 and ₹10 price points often do not realise they are getting less for the same money. He pointed to biscuits, where a ₹10 pack of Good Day has reduced from 100 grams to around 90 grams, and said the trend is even sharper in soaps, among the most palm oil-sensitive categories, with global palm oil derivative prices at a 24-month high in early 2026. Entry-level ₹10 packs of Lifebuoy and Lux have been trimmed by 8–12 grams, with bars that were earlier 55 grams now closer to 46–48 grams, while Dettol’s ₹10 bar has reduced from 45 grams to about 40 grams. Even cleaning products have not been spared, with the ₹5 Vim ‘Chhotu’ bar cut by 5–7 grams, making it visibly thinner even as the price remains unchanged, he added.

Companies don’t want to disturb customers’ safe consideration zone

But the sanctity of the ₹5 and ₹10 price points will not change. These entry-level packs will not disappear, nor will ₹10 become ₹12, because they anchor rural India’s consumption economy, where purchases are often daily: a ₹5 note from a morning’s wage or a ₹10 coin from a small transaction. Even a marginal hike risks pushing consumers out of the category altogether.

“Companies like Parle and Dabur are considering price increases or smaller packs,” Anand Rathi Research said, but the emphasis, tellingly, is on the smaller packs.

Parle Products has trimmed grammage in select Parle-G packs to retain ₹5 and ₹10 price points rather than raise them. Varun Beverages has introduced ultra-small ₹10 packs of Pepsi and Slice. Emami is doubling down on BoroPlus and Navratna sachets, holding prices and adjusting quantities.

Dabur has introduced smaller packs of Dabur Honey, Real juices, and Vatika hair care while taking selective price hikes only where demand elasticity allows, according to Anand Rathi Research.

Nuvama notes Britannia and Nestlé are being “surgical” — trimming grammage in high-volume packs of Good Day, Marie Gold, and Maggi while protecting premium segments. Packaging alone accounts for 15–20% of total costs for companies like Parle, and crude-linked polymer inflation has further sharpened the pressure.

The bridge pack fills the middle

Companies are also building “bridge packs”, formats between the ₹5 sachet and the larger family pack, designed to retain consumers within the brand franchise without forcing a sharp jump in spending. HUL’s Lifebuoy is the textbook example: a ₹16 bar sitting between the ₹10 entry and the ₹36 format, with Surf Excel, Rin, and Clinic Plus following similar logic.

Adani Wilmar is pushing smaller Fortune refined oil packs to keep households in branded oil, even as the larger tin has become a significant purchase. The consumer who stays with Fortune today is worth far more than one who drifts to loose oil.

The urban consumer sees through it

The rural consumer accepts the lighter pack. The urban consumer resents down-trading to unbranded alternatives or bulk buying when branded packs deliver less. HUL runs the inverse play simultaneously: Dove in compact bottles, TRESemmé in trial sizes, Indulekha in smaller packs.

This is not shrinkflation but access plays, keeping aspirational brands within reach of a budget-conscious urban buyer. Two strategies, both small packs, pointing in opposite directions.

A ratchet that only turns one way

Each commodity spike prompts a reduction in grammage. When costs ease, pack sizes never recover. The baseline resets lower every cycle. “The transmission from input costs to pricing and eventually to demand is already underway,” Bhattacharya of EY noted, and that transmission is asymmetric. It flows downward. It does not reverse.

“Such pricing actions could weigh on the nascent demand recovery,” Anand Rathi Research cautioned. The middle path of shrinkflation carries its own demand cost, compounding quietly across cycles.

The ₹5 pack will survive; it’s too embedded in rural India’s daily cash-flow economics, in the kirana store’s logic, in every FMCG company’s brand calculus to be abandoned by either side.

The Parle-G of FY27 will be lighter than the one from 2017. The Fortune pouch is smaller. The Maggi block lighter. The pricing on the pack is unchanged.

It will just keep getting lighter.

Published on April 10, 2026