惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

N
News and Events Feed by Topic
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
G
Google Developers Blog
N
Netflix TechBlog - Medium
Recorded Future
Recorded Future
S
Securelist
cs.CL updates on arXiv.org
cs.CL updates on arXiv.org
Scott Helme
Scott Helme
C
Check Point Blog
量子位
月光博客
月光博客
Last Week in AI
Last Week in AI
C
Cisco Blogs
G
GRAHAM CLULEY
B
Blog RSS Feed
K
Kaspersky official blog
爱范儿
爱范儿
J
Java Code Geeks
I
Intezer
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
C
CXSECURITY Database RSS Feed - CXSecurity.com
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
罗磊的独立博客
Threat Intelligence Blog | Flashpoint
Threat Intelligence Blog | Flashpoint
MongoDB | Blog
MongoDB | Blog
T
Threat Research - Cisco Blogs
N
News | PayPal Newsroom
Exploit-DB.com RSS Feed
Exploit-DB.com RSS Feed
Security Latest
Security Latest
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
人人都是产品经理
人人都是产品经理
P
Privacy International News Feed
The Cloudflare Blog
H
Heimdal Security Blog
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
腾讯CDC
GbyAI
GbyAI
V
Visual Studio Blog
Recent Commits to openclaw:main
Recent Commits to openclaw:main
博客园 - 聂微东
T
Tenable Blog
The Register - Security
The Register - Security
AI
AI
C
Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency CISA
S
Schneier on Security
L
LangChain Blog

Personal Finance News, Money, Investment, Loans | The HinduBusinessLine

Pack peace of mind for foreign trips Know a good forecaster? Anti mis-selling: rules, duty Your avenues for investments abroad Federal Reserve and the story of gold vs equities Electronic Gold Receipts explained: NSE launch gives demat gold a second chance Parcel Fraud: How fake courier, India Post and customs scams cheat customers Pros and cons of bank deposits The elusive choice in absence of collaterals Should you really await your second ‘marshmallow’? P/E multiples can be the same number yet poles apart Simply Put Logging the absolute chart Tax Query: Tax on NPS Corpus Withdrawn New NPS Fee Rules 2026: PFRDA Clarifies Maintenance Charges and Dormancy Relief Gold, Silver rate trade flat today Dodge that mis-selling bullet Marshmallow myths and the waiting child India’s D2C disruption: How new-age brands are rewriting the rules in innerwear and luggage While Planning IVF Treatment RBI Proposes Payment Delays, Kill Switch To Tackle Digital Fraud How The Salaried Can Stay Financially Secure Through Job Uncertainty Adani Power Q4 profit jumps 64% to Rs 4,271 crore on strong revenue growth Ask us on investments Rupee depreciation and its impact on investments Arriving at terminal wealth Eye-opener What to make of MF flows data Passive defence play Interplay between Dated Brent and Brent futures Why mis-selling takes place Spousal discussion: reconciling goal choice Where money sits, what it becomes, why it matters? How Benchmark Choice Changes PMS Outperformance Financial Security In The Age of Job Volatility How To Stay Financially Afloat When Your Paycheque Suddenly Stops Insurance Query: Travel Insurance For International Students No, life insurance isn’t like fixed deposit Why SIPs on individual stocks? Diagnose financial health at home with these vitals Insurance Query: Special Benefits For Women In Life Insurance Strong dollar pounds gold, silver When all assets look dull, it is the time to stay calm Personal loan, EMI, interest cost Bottom-fishing stocks? Five things to watch out for Travel insurance for your vacation amid war disruptions Simply put: Earnings Downgrades How ETFs fit into your portfolio When the ‘promise’ is not the ‘policy’ When the cannons boom: stock markets in wartime Before you buy an ETF These NPS schemes weathered the 18-month market pain Insurance Query: Reassessing Insurance Needs Weight-Loss Pill Brings Sweet Insurance Dose For Diabetes Patients Choices drive your decision Personal loan at lower cost NSEIX opens doors to US stocks for Indian investors New Mediclaim Policy For CGHS Beneficiaries: Is It Worth It? Key Takeaways from SEBI’s Consultation Paper on Nomination for Shares and Mutual Funds Simply Put: Bear Flattening Muthoot Fincorp NCD: Are The Yields Attractive For Investors? After 5 Years, Health Claims Cannot Be Rejected Unless Fraud Is Proven Why pension planning is no longer optional? To adjust or not to adjust the benchmark Choosing the right personal loan lender Stock markets and Crude oil: Can the futures curve of crude oil give directions on where markets are headed? Taxes on SME IPO Gains and Derivatives Income Pre-okayed personal loans aid in emergency Can loss calibrate expectation? Her money, her investment choices Porting hospitalisation policy; if this, then that When SIP returns turn uncomfortable Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq, KOSPI, Nifty 50: How the indices fared during major wars and why it’s different this time Simply Put | Equity Risk Premium NRI remittances and taxes Insurance Query | Matters Of The Heart Rebalancing scenarios and rules Precious metals recover from early Feb. lows Arbitrage funds: Profiting from price gaps in volatile market How to trim your retirement target The HYPE and SUBSTANCE Of A ‘Blog Post’ That Shook Software Stocks Early retirement plan hits inadequate corpus roadblock Microsoft, Palantir, Salesforce, Adobe: How OpenAI and Anthropic crushed software's 23-year reign Opportunities, risks in porting health policy Guaranteed return plan On alpha fade rate Pledged Gold Or Jewels In Bank Locker Missing? Know The Next Steps And Compensation Rules New Income Tax rules 2026: What salaried class need to know Buy, hold vs. market timing Why two is better than one in a home loan Demystifying home loan insurance for borrowers Balance Beats Bravado When Cycles Turn Whiteoak Capital Flexicap Fund: Should You Invest? EPFO 3.0: ATM Access, Standardised Procedures And Higher Withdrawals CPI base year shifts to 2024: what it means for inflation and investors SDIs and PTCs Explained: Why 12% Debt Returns Carry Hidden Risks Are you tax aware? Gold and silver prices turn volatile The hidden risk in hospitalisation renewals Simply Put: Biopharma Shakti NPS Swasthya Pension Scheme: How it works, withdrawals, limits
Will The Magic Of ‘An Idiotic Idea’ Work Again?
By Nishanth Gopalakrishnan · 2026-06-07 · via Personal Finance News, Money, Investment, Loans | The HinduBusinessLine

The rupee recovered by 0.9 per cent on Friday, after supportive measures from the government and the RBI. While the government passed an ordinance exempting FIIs from tax on income from government securities (G-Secs), the RBI announced a suite of measures to alleviate India’s balance of payments (BoP) challenge. The key among them involves an FCNR swap window, mirroring a similar measure in 2013, when Raghuram Rajan was the then Governor. Rajan would then go on to admit in a 2016 event on how he initially viewed the idea as ‘idiotic’ and changed his stance, subsequently realising its benefits.

What is the FCNR swap window? Will the magic work this time too? Here’s an explainer.

What is the RBI’s measure involving FCNR (B) deposits to garner forex inflows?

FCNR (B) deposits or Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank) deposits are term deposits that NRIs (non-resident Indians), OCIs (overseas citizens of India) and PIOs (persons of Indian origin) can open with Indian commercial banks, like SBI. Under these accounts, both the deposit of principal and redemption happen in foreign currency — thus, the depositor is safeguarded against depreciation of the rupee. On top of this, the interest on these accounts is exempt from tax in India.

That said, the central bank has now announced a facility where it will bear the hedging cost with respect to FCNR (B) deposits raised by AD (authorised dealer) banks up to September 30, on behalf of such banks. An important condition is that the tenor on these deposits must be three-five years. AD banks are, basically, Indian commercial banks that are licenced by the RBI to deal in forex. The list includes major public and private sector banks.

How does the facility work?

Since Indian banks lend in rupees, they have no use having the FCNR deposits in foreign currency, unless they can find lending opportunities in those currencies. Hence, once raised, they convert them to rupees. Since upon maturity, deposits are to be redeemed in foreign currency, banks must convert rupees back to foreign currency. In the intermittent period, they are exposed to fluctuations in the currency market. To hedge themselves from this currency risk, banks generally enter into swap contracts (co-terminus with the maturity of these deposits) to lock-in a forward exchange rate, as immediately as raising those deposits. Come redemption, this forward rate is the rate at which banks would convert rupees back to foreign currency, to repay the depositor.

While doing so, banks incur a hedging cost. This will be on top of the interest rate banks promise to pay the depositor. Such hedging cost is exactly what the RBI is offering to bear on behalf of AD banks. Per Anshul Chandak, Head of Treasury at RBL Bank, this is expected to cost the central bank 3.5-3.75 per cent per annum on every billion-dollar raised via the FCNR (B) route—roughly translating to $34 million or ₹325 crore per billion dollars (at today’s exchange rate).

Had it not been for this facility, SBI, for instance, would have roughly incurred 7.1 per cent per annum on a three-year USD FCNR (B) deposit — interest rate of 3.6 per cent plus hedge cost of 3.5 per cent. Now that it can avail RBI’s facility, its cost would be reduced to just the interest rate of 3.6 per cent on the deposit.

What are the historical precedents?

In 2013, during the infamous Taper Tantrum—when the then Fed Chair Ben Bernanke hinted that the US Fed would soon begin reducing or ‘tapering’ post-2008 bond-buying or quantitative easing, rupee was under serious pressure. Rupee depreciated by a massive 29 per cent in merely a span of four months between May and August of 2013 (from ₹54 a dollar to ₹69), grouping India amongst the ‘fragile five’ economies then. India was already struggling from two years of sharp current account deficits of 4.3 per cent and 4.7 per cent for FY12 and FY13 respectively. Balance of payments (which includes both current and capital account) recorded a deficit of 0.7 per cent of GDP in FY12 and marginally broke even at 0.2 per cent of GDP in FY13. The situation called for immediate action to save the currency.

When Rajan succeeded Duvvuri Subbarao as the Governor of RBI in September 2013, the central bank announced a similar swap window for FCNR (B) deposits. The RBI offered banks to swap fresh FCNR (B) dollar funds, raised for a minimum tenor of three years at a concessional fixed rate of 3.5 per cent. This was roughly half of what it would have costed banks to hedge the risk at that time — 7 per cent vs 3.5-3.75 per cent now.

Did the 2013 swap window work?

It did! Reportedly, banks mobilised about $30 billion of much-needed forex when the window was kept open until November 30, 2013. Going by RBI’s BoP data, net non-resident deposits (FCNR (B) plus other NR deposits) recorded a sharp spike to $39 billion in FY14, which was merely $7.4 billion on average in the past five years (FY09-13). The rupee appreciated to ₹62 to the dollar from the bottom of ₹69 by August-end. BoP recorded a surplus of 0.8 per cent of GDP for FY14.

It is interesting to note how this window immensely benefited NRIs, who borrowed dollars at near-zero rates in developed markets and invested in such FCNR (B) deposits, against the collateral of the very FCNR deposits themselves. Here is an excerpt from former SEBI whole-time member Ananth Narayan’s blog on how the scheme operated for some NRIs.

“Consider a Singapore-based NRI with $100,000 to deposit. The proposal her bank would have shown her in late 2013 would have looked somewhat like this:

Start with your original $100,000.

Borrow an additional $900,000 from the bank in Singapore for three years, at 2 per cent per annum.

Place the entire $1,000,000 as a three-year FCNR deposit in Mumbai at 3 per cent per annum and put this up as collateral against your $900,000-loan.

On redemption of the FCNR deposit, pay back the $900,000-loan, and take back your net $100,000 principal.

Each year, you would earn an interest of $30,000 (3 per cent on $1,000,000).

Each year, you would pay an interest of $18,000 (2 per cent on $900,000).

On a net basis therefore, each year, you would earn a net interest of $12,000 – or 12 per cent on your original $100,000!”

Here’s an interesting tidbit. Though markets celebrated Rajan for this idea, the former Governor later admitted that it was, in fact, not his and how he was not in favour of it initially. Before his central bank stint as Governor, he was serving as an officer on special duty, under Subbarao. Among the many ideas the central bank officials had floated to prop the rupee, Rajan found the idea about the FCNR swap window ‘completely idiotic’. His rationale being that the government would have to foot the ₹10,000-20,000 crore swap subsidy bill. With Rajan in the ‘nay’ camp, he found Subbarao, the deputy governors and even the Finance Ministry in the ‘aye’ camp.

However, he later found merit in the idea — that a stronger rupee as a result of FCNR inflows can save up to ₹1.6 trillion on India’s $400-billion import bill. Subbarao would then go on to let Rajan announce the swap facility himself, the very day he took over as the Governor.

Will the same measure work this time around?

While the pressure on the rupee is similar to that of 2013, things are a bit different now. Primarily, while yields in the developed markets were close to zero then — conducive for non-residents to borrow and invest or even just invest their own savings, it is not so now. Yield on three-year US Treasury bonds are anyway elevated at around 4.2 per cent, while that on SBI’s FCNR (B)s is 3.6 per cent. Some banks in the US are already offering up to 4.2-4.35 per cent on USD deposits. Hence, for the window to work this time, it largely hinges on how much Indian banks can pass the benefit on to the depositors, as explained above. This is also the expectation of the central bank, as stated by Governor Malhotra in the post-monetary policy press conference.

Published on June 6, 2026