Tamil Nadu election results 2026 | Almost a week after the elections in Tamil Nadu have been over, everyone is wondering whether Thalapathy Vijay will be able to win big in the Perambur assembly constituency in Chennai or not just like his commercial potboilers.
It, however, was not a cakewalk for Vijay to make it big in Perambur, which has a long-standing working-class voter base. The constituency saw a record voter turnout at nearly 90% on April 23, according to the Election Commission.
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Vijay's first ever election
The Perambur contest is Vijay's first-ever electoral contest, making it a symbolic battleground of sorts for the superstar of the Tamil celluloid. Since Perambur comprises a large working-class population, it is not the one to be swayed so easily by star power.
It is seen as a test of whether Vijay can disrupt Dravidian politics entrenched in the collective psyche of Perambur by fighting an established party without existing election machinery or legacy of any kind.
Winning Perambur wouldn't be as easy as savouring thayir sadham (curd rice) for Vijay, as he needs a double-digit vote share shift to win from this seat. Vijay's entry into the contest may split votes, especially anti-DMK votes.
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Why Vijay faces a huge challenge in Perambur?
Vijay has a strong appeal among young and first-time voters. Even if TVK gains traction among other groups, converting that into a winning margin would be a huge challenge.
A recent opinion poll by Thanthi TV suggested that it will be a close contest this time. Out of the total 234 constituencies, 84 will favour the DMK, whereas 72 will be bagged by the AIADMK. One constituency favours Vijay's TVK, whereas it is likely to be a tight contest in 77 seats, the opinion poll said.
The opinion poll further revealed that while DMK continues to remain the frontrunner, TVK is emerging as a serious challenger and is competitive enough to alter margins.
It further stated that even if the TVK doesn't win Perambur, it could dent DMK's margins and establish itself as a future political force.
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What do the exit polls say on Tamil Nadu?
Most exit polls have predicted a comfortable majority for the MK Stalin-led DMK, with India Today-Axis My India and Times Now-JVC being the only exceptions.
India Today-Axis My India has projected a blockbuster debut for Vijay, with the TVK securing 98-120 seats. It projected that the DMK is likely to get anywhere between 92-110 seats.
| Pollsters | DMK | AIADMK | TVK | Others |
| India Today-Axis My India | 92-110 | 22-32 | 98-120 | -- |
| Vote Vibe | 103-113 | 114-124 | 4-10 | -- |
| Chanakya Strategies | 145-160 | 50-65 | -- | 18-26 |
| Matrize | 122-132 | 87-110 | 10-12 | 2-6 |
| Times Now-JVC Exit Poll | 75-95 | 128-147 | 8-10 | -- |
| Peoples Pulse | 125-145 | 65-80 | 18-24 | 2-6 |
| Poll of Exit Polls | 130 | 65 | 31 | 8 |
| P-MARQ | 125-145 | 65-85 | 16-26 | 1-6 |
| Peoples Insight | 120-140 | 60-70 | 30-40 | -- |
CATCH FULL COVERAGE OF TAMIL NADU EXIT POLL 2026 HERE
Published on: May 4, 2026 7:00 AM IST
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