惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

Spread Privacy
Spread Privacy
S
Schneier on Security
博客园 - 【当耐特】
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
美团技术团队
Application and Cybersecurity Blog
Application and Cybersecurity Blog
MongoDB | Blog
MongoDB | Blog
NISL@THU
NISL@THU
N
Netflix TechBlog - Medium
Exploit-DB.com RSS Feed
Exploit-DB.com RSS Feed
Webroot Blog
Webroot Blog
月光博客
月光博客
T
The Exploit Database - CXSecurity.com
Forbes - Security
Forbes - Security
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
博客园 - 叶小钗
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
IT之家
IT之家
B
Blog
C
CERT Recently Published Vulnerability Notes
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
Recent Commits to openclaw:main
Recent Commits to openclaw:main
F
Fortinet All Blogs
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
Know Your Adversary
Know Your Adversary
Security Latest
Security Latest
cs.CL updates on arXiv.org
cs.CL updates on arXiv.org
T
Troy Hunt's Blog
O
OpenAI News
D
Darknet – Hacking Tools, Hacker News & Cyber Security
C
CXSECURITY Database RSS Feed - CXSecurity.com
V2EX - 技术
V2EX - 技术
L
Lohrmann on Cybersecurity
C
Cyber Attacks, Cyber Crime and Cyber Security
H
Help Net Security
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
cs.AI updates on arXiv.org
cs.AI updates on arXiv.org
Last Week in AI
Last Week in AI
Help Net Security
Help Net Security
Hacker News: Ask HN
Hacker News: Ask HN
A
About on SuperTechFans
Y
Y Combinator Blog
Hacker News - Newest:
Hacker News - Newest: "LLM"
Engineering at Meta
Engineering at Meta
T
Threat Research - Cisco Blogs
Vercel News
Vercel News
K
KPMG report finds enterprise disconnect between AI and its ROI | CIO
Recorded Future
Recorded Future
C
Cisco Blogs
Project Zero
Project Zero

Futurism

SpaceX Is Learning a Nasty Lesson About Going Public When Your Main Product Is Experimental SpaceX Eager to Support the Pentagon's Lethal AI Models SpaceX Investors Are Lamenting All the Money They've Lost SpaceX Plunges to All-Time Low After Competitor Makes Major Leap Elon Musk Says His Goal Is for SpaceX to Be Worth More than the Entire Earth China Is Catching Up With SpaceX Fast, Landing First Reusable Rocket Booster on Offshore Platform If You Thought SpaceX Stock Was Doing Badly Before, Now It's Really Tanking Elon Musk Is Charging Starlink Customers Gigantic Bogus Fees Because Its Network Is Being Crushed by "High Demand" The Problem With SpaceX's Secret "AI Device" SpaceX Investors Are Having Another Brutal Day Anybody Who Thinks Orbital Data Centers are a Good Idea Is Suffering from AI Psychosis, Experts Argue NASA Has a Major Problem Threatening Its Entire Moon Plans SpaceX Stock Has Fallen So Far That Elon Musk Is No Longer a Trillionaire SpaceX Launches Secretive New Spacecraft Shaped Like Flying Saucer SpaceX Stock Has Officially Fallen So Far That It's Below Where It Started Tech Stocks Are Abruptly Collapsing SpaceX Just Had Its Worst Day of Trading Yet Musk Furious After SpaceX Stock Gets Worst Possible Report Card SpaceX Investors Are Losing a Colossal Amount of Money Tension Flared on Space Station as Russia Threatened to Drill and Saw Into Wall, Prompting NASA Astronauts to Take Shelter Elon Musk's Conflicts of Interest With the Trump Administration Regulating SpaceX Are So Profound That They Have Grim Implications for Society SpaceX Stock Has Officially Fallen All the Way Down to the Low $170s SpaceX Stock Had Quite a Bad Night Wall Street Terrified That SpaceX Investors Will Dump Their Stocks SpaceX Stock Now in Rapid Decline SpaceX Stock Has Now Started to Fall NASA Loads Moon Rocket onto Giant Trump-Branded Train Eighty Residents Sue SpaceX, Saying Elon Musk’s Constant Rocket Launches Are Literally Destroying Their Homes SpaceX’s IPO Shows That We Aren’t Even Close to Peak AI Bubble The More Data We See About SpaceX’s IPO, the More We’re Wincing NASA’s Next Moon Mission Is a Rube Goldberg Machine of Corporate Failure Points It’s Possible That SpaceX Could Collapse Spectacularly SpaceX Is Massively Overvalued Ahead of Its IPO, Analysts Find Trump Shovels $4 Billion Directly to Elon Musk, Who Spent a Fortune Getting Him Elected Elon Musk Furious at Starlink Being Used for American Suicide Drones NASA Releases Sweeping Plans for Moon Base Research Paper Warns That There’s a Massive Experiment at Work to Geoengineer the Earth’s Climate SpaceX Announces Plans to Put Billionaire on First Rocket to Mars SpaceX Stock May Actually Be a Horrendous Investment Elon Musk’s Ex Says He Bragged About 10,000 Lasers in Orbit That Are “Not a Piece They’ll See on the Chess Board” Worker Dies at Starbase as SpaceX Rushes Toward Starship Launch If Starship Explodes Again, It Could Derail SpaceX’s Entire IPO SpaceX Bombarded With Lawsuits to Accusing Starship of Damaging Homes Explosion Reported on Site as SpaceX Prepares Starship for Another Launch Jeff Bezos’ Moon Lander Just Completed a Key Test NASA’s Moon Landing Schedule Slipping Horrendously Under Trump NASA Fires Up Futuristic Plasma Thruster Designed to Take Us to Mars An Out of Control SpaceX Rocket Is Going to Smash Into Moon, Astronomer Says Elon Musk Fans Increasingly Disgusted by His Toxic Outbursts SpaceX’s IPO Plan Will Give Elon Musk Ironclad Rule Over the Resulting Empire SpaceX Admits AI Data Centers in Space May Be a Really Terrible Idea Jeff Bezos’ Botched Space Launch Was So Bad It Could Threaten NASA’s Entire Moon Program Pentagon Disturbed as Its Fleet of Drones Is Left Bobbing in the Ocean When Elon Musk’s Starlink Fails Elon Musk Secretly Shared His Number One Priority at Tesla and It Really Says It All There’s a Blinking Warning Sign for the Data Centers in Space Industry SpaceX Files for IPO
The Math on SpaceX’s IPO Is Virtually Impossible
Victor Tangermann · 2026-06-08 · via Futurism

A photo illustration featuring a photograph of Elon Musk.

Illustration by Tag Hartman-Simkins / Futurism. Source: Fabrice Coffrini / AFP via Getty Images

Sign up to see the future, today

Can’t-miss innovations from the bleeding edge of science and tech

Elon Musk’s SpaceX is slated to go public this week at a market cap of $1.75 trillion, which would make it one of the world’s most valuable publicly traded companies in the world overnight.

But justifying that astronomical figure appears virtually impossible: in fact, as Fortune reports, it would require the company to grow and profit more spectacularly than any other venture in the history of capitalism.

For one, as detailed in its S1-filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, SpaceX lost a staggering $4.9 billion last year, while only raking in $18.7 billion. According to Wall Street veteran and corporate financial expert David Trainer, SpaceX would need to hit a revenue target of $1.1 trillion — almost 60 times what it made in 2025 — to become a worthy buy with an actual return for investors.

That would be higher than the highest annual revenues posted by any company ever, a record that was set by Amazon, which raked in $742 billion across the last four quarters.

According to Fortune‘s estimates, SpaceX would have to increase sales by a whopping 50 percent every year for a decade, something no company has even come close to achieving. By 2035, the company would be the same size as an entire industry made up of dozens of Fortune 500 members, according to the publication, over 50 percent bigger than the utilities sector or entertainment industry.

In short, SpaceX would need to do a whole lot more than just enormously accelerate the growth of its number one revenue maker, Starlink. Worse yet, Musk’s AI startup xAI and struggling social media network X were both recently folded into the rocket company, weighing it down even further by saddling it with billions in additional debt, nevermind ongoing expenditures and drama.

Nobody knows how its NASDAQ debut will play out later this week. It’s still entirely possible investors may balk at Musk’s moonshot proposition, resulting in the company collapsing under its own weight, with many choosing to bet on its eventual demise instead by shorting the stock.

But if Musk’s existing relationship with retail investors is anything to go by, there could be plenty of goodwill left to prop up his enormous bet on orbital AI data centers — at least for now.

Besides, amidst the ongoing AI hype cycle and growing oil crisis, the stock market has long abandoned any pretense of being tied to business fundamentals, turning into a haven for those willing to speculate on a distant and far-fetched future.

In other words, retail investors may not believe in SpaceX’s ability to astronomically grow its revenues each year — but they’re willing to cash in on the hype itself, thinking they can get out before the bill comes due.

More on the IPO: SpaceX Is Massively Overvalued Ahead of Its IPO, Analysts Find