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Futurism

Light Pollution is Causing Fish to Live Miserable, Bitter Lives, Researchers Find Massive Data Center Cooks Nearby Residents Alive Amidst Deadly Heatwave We've Blown So Far Past a Doomer 2014 Climate Project That It's Scary All But Five US States Are Currently Experiencing Droughts Government Scientists Fired by Trump Launch New Website for Sharing Climate Data Mass Deaths Attributed to Brutal Heat Wave Trump's Reflecting Pool Is No Match for the AlgaeBTQ Agenda Scientists Say New Method Turns Coffee Grounds Into High-Potency Renewable Fuel Illinois Is Getting Battered by Freak Tornadoes Musk Furious After SpaceX Stock Gets Worst Possible Report Card Volunteer Under Investigation for Cleaning Polluted River Without a License, Faces Two Years in Prison Weather So Brutal That Dean Passes Out at College Graduation Out-of-Control Icebergs Are Wreaking Havoc on the Oceans The Funniest Possible Thing Happened After Trump Painted the Lincoln Reflecting Pool Blue Scientists Detected Strange Rumbling Beneath Utah Almost 50 Years Ago. They Just Figured Out What It Was Earth's Underground Fungus Network Is So Gigantic That If You Stretched It Out, It Would Reach to Other Star Systems Scientists Horrified as Huge Heatwave Hits Antarctica Autonomous Robots Confirmed to Have Killed Human Soldiers The El Niño Situation Is Looking Absolutely Brutal Fish Already Cooking Alive Across the US Ahead of Blistering Summer Heat Temperatures Soaring So High That Trump’s UFC Fighters May Just Collapse in the Heat Solar Just Produced More Electricity Than Coal for the First Time in the History of the United States California Primed for Apocalyptic Earthquake, Geological Research Finds Scientists Detect Massive Structure Under Antarctica New Study Finds Something Horrible Contaminating Half of California’s Water Remember How Sucking Carbon Out of the Air Was Going to Save the Planet? We Have Terrible News Trump Desperately Pumps Money Into Dying Coal Industry AI Will Consume as Much Water as a Billion People By 2030, UN Report Estimates Kevin O’Leary Pleads With Locals to Allow His Massive Data Center If He Shrinks It Down to the Size of One Manhattan People Are Not Happy About Google’s Plan to Release Millions of Bioengineered Mosquitoes Into the Wild
Google Says Showing Polymarket Bets on Google News Was a ...
2026-04-09 · via Futurism

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After an outcry, Google says that showing Polymarket bets alongside legitimate news sources on Google News was an “error.”

“Google News is designed to show sources that create content about current issues, events, and important topics, and we have policies for sites to be eligible to appear,” the company told The Verge. “This site briefly appeared in Google News in error, and it is no longer surfacing in News.”

The drama started when Futurism noticed that the tech giant had started showing Polymarket bets alongside actual news articles, often appearing as large blocks that contained links to numerous gambling opportunities on the service.

Screenshot from Google News showing four headlines:

-"Polymarket: Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 1-?"

-"Polymarket: 2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7? Trading Odds & Predictions"

-"Polymarket: 1 Paid App in teh US Apple App Store on April 7? Trading Odds & Predictions"

"-Yahoo Finance: Gemini Falls Behind ChatGPT As Grok Disappears"

The bets often appeared in the “For you” section of Google News, which is tailored to a user’s personal interests. In one instance, it was even the very top result, as with this bet on the price of Bitcoin.

Screenshot of Google News showing that the very first item on the "For You" page is a link to a Polymarket bet titled "Bitcoin Up or Down - 5 Minutes."

In our testing, Polymarket bets were also showing up on the Google News home page.

But links from the prediction market were popping up all over Google News, including in searches. In further tests, looking up “will ships transit the strait,” referring to the Strait of Hormuz, returned numerous credible sources like Financial Times, The Guardian, and Reuters. Just below them, however, was a Polymarket bet on the number of ships that would be allowed to pass through the critical oil passageway.

Google News screenshot showing four links:

-"Polymarket Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Trading Odds & Predictions"

-"Finimize: US STocks Slide As Markets Doubt A Hormuz Ceasefire"

-"Benefits and Pensions Monitor: How the Straight of Hormuz closure is forcing a mid-cycle price reset"

-Will ___ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?"

When searching “Polymarket” in its search bar, Google News also allowed users to choose it as a “source,” directing them to a page that aggregates other Polymarket hits. It’s not the only non-news site that was selectable as a source — looking up “Reddit” and “X” offers the option, too — but searching for “Kalshi,” another prediction market and Polymarket’s main competitor, didn’t give the option to use it as a source.

It’s unclear when Polymarket bets began crowding Google News, but it appears to be a recent development. A handful of complaints on social media go back to around the same date in late March. Polymarket bets were also appearing in the News section of a Google search, and at least one post reporting this goes back to January.

In November, the search giant announced a deal with Polymarket and Kalshi to feed their prediction data into its finance platform; it’s unclear if Polymarket’s inclusion in Google News had anything to do with that partnership.

Regardless, it’s easy to see why Polymarket would be catnip to Google’s algorithms, since it generates huge numbers of pages for bets that are constantly updated in small ways, making them seem — on a surface level — like valuable news stories. The reality, though, is that Polymarket has been criticized for dealing in the language of journalism while peddling wildly irresponsible falsehoods.

Prediction markets allow users to bet on a wide range of real world outcomes, including geopolitical developments with seismic implications. They affix a percentage likelihood to each event, which is calculated based on user bets. As such, they present themselves as offering certain analytic insights, drawing on the wisdom of the crowd to sound out the future.

But in reality and in practice, it’s glorified gambling, and numerous scandals have arisen over potential insider trading on the platforms. The issue gained national attention in January, when an anonymous Polymarket user walked away with more than $400,000 after placing a large wager that Venezuela’s president Nicolás Maduro would be ousted by the end of the month, just hours before US troops invaded the country and abducted him. The possibility that a figure in or connected to the US government had placed the bet couldn’t be ignored.

And as is the case with traditional forms of gambling, like match fixing in sports, critics say that prediction markets can themselves influence real world events. In March, Polymarket quietly took down a bet on whether a nuclear weapon would be detonated before this year, raising the specter that the site was blatantly incentivizing nuclear conflict. (An all-the-more chilling possibility after president Trump’s recent threat to Iran that a “whole civilization will die tonight” if its leaders didn’t comply with US demands.)

Conscious of their thorny public image, prediction markets have tried to launder their reputation by collaborating with news agencies. In January, Kalshi partnered with CNN to provide real time prediction data on its live news broadcasts. That same month, Polymarket announced its own partnership with Dow Jones, the publisher of The Wall Street Journal, to pipe its prediction data onto its publications.

In light of all this, Polymarket appearing in Google News felt a major victory for the prediction platform — rubber-stamping its image as an authority on developing real-world events right alongside genuine real publishers of journalism — until the search giant put the kibosh on the phenomenon.

Updated to include Google’s response.

More on prediction markets: Polymarket Has Turned Our Climate Apocalypse Into a Casino