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Techtonic with Mark Hurst on WFMU

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Starlink and Kessler Syndrome, feat. astronomer Samantha ...
2026-04-21 · via Techtonic with Mark Hurst on WFMU

Artemis II was a success, but risks are rising in low-earth orbit. Astronomer Samantha Lawler warns that too much space debris, from Elon Musk’s Starlink and others, could lead to the “runaway collisional cascade” of Kessler Syndrome.

Show Notes

Screenshot from orbitalradar.com

Dr. Sam Lawler’s Astronomy Research: “I am an Associate Professor of Astronomy at Campion College, and also part of the Department of Physics in the University of Regina, SK, Canada.”

@sundogplanets: Sam’s Mastodon account - see this recent thread: “Blue Origin wants 51,600 satellites, all in sun-synchronous orbits.”

A new space race could turn our atmosphere into a ‘crematorium for satellites’ (by Laura Revell, Michele Bannister, and Samantha Lawler in The Conversation, Feb 26, 2026):

Over the past few years, the number of satellite launches has skyrocketed. There are now nearly 15,000 active satellites in orbit around the Earth, most of them part of “mega-constellations” in which each satellite has a service life of only a few years.

New satellites must be quickly launched as replacements. To avoid leaving old, dead satellites in Earth’s already-crowded low orbits, most satellite operators deliberately de-orbit them into Earth’s upper atmosphere.

Here, they burn up or break apart into smaller pieces: a process known as “demisability”. In effect, satellites have become part of throwaway culture.

That approach is now being taken to a vastly larger scale. We are concerned about the implications for Earth’s climate and atmosphere.

• According to Jonathan McDowell, as of April 6, 2026:

Active Starlinks in orbit: 10,166
Other active maneuverable payloads in orbit: 3,062
Active non-maneuverable payloads in orbit: 2,066
Total all active payloads in orbit: 15,294

Study Confirms: Reentering SpaceX Rockets Are Peppering the Upper Atmosphere With Metal Pollution (Gizmodo, Feb 19, 2026)

• Samantha Lawler on the Nov 18, 2024 Techtonic about falling space junk

Musk's space junk is a threat to us all (by Mark Hurst, Nov 22, 2024)

Our Mom-and-Pop Data Center (by Jed Feiman and Nehemiah Markos, the New Yorker, April 6, 2026)

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