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The San Diego Padres keep winning games, which is exactly why the biggest problem surrounding the organization has become so easy to ignore.

Because beneath the strong record and early-season optimism, something deeply uncomfortable is happening to the core of San Diego’s championship hopes.

And the Padres know they cannot survive it forever.

Manny Machado is hitting just .182 with a .604 OPS through 43 games. Fernando Tatis Jr. still has not hit a home run. Jackson Merrill has struggled badly after entering the season viewed as one of the sport’s rising young stars.

Yet somehow, San Diego remains only a half-game behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West.

That contradiction has created a dangerous illusion around this team.

The Padres are winning enough games to suppress panic externally, but the offensive struggles from their star players are starting to raise much larger questions about the long-term stability of this roster.

Especially because Machado’s comments no longer sound like frustration.

They sound like acceptance.

“Listen man, it’s a little bit of unlucky, there’s a little bit of, you know, [mechanical] stuff going on,” Machado told the San Diego Union-Tribune. “Just a little bit of everything, I mean, it’s baseball.”

That calm response may reassure some fans.

It should probably worry others.

Padres Cannot Keep Relying on Everyone Else

GettyManny Machado #13 and Fernando Tatis Jr. #23 of the San Diego Padres stands during the national anthem prior to a game against the Chicago White Sox at Petco Park on May 02, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)

The most alarming part of San Diego’s start is not Machado slumping individually. Baseball stars go through cold stretches every season.

The real issue is that nearly the entire offensive core has struggled simultaneously.

Tatis owns a .586 OPS. Merrill has posted a .600 OPS. Machado has looked nothing like the hitter who has anchored this franchise for years. Even more concerning, none of the three has consistently resembled the explosive offensive force the Padres expected entering the season.

That matters because San Diego built this roster around star power.

The Padres invested massive money into Machado, Tatis, and Xander Bogaerts with the belief that elite talent would eventually overpower the Dodgers and push the organization into a World Series title window.

Instead, the supporting cast and pitching staff have carried the team for most of the season.

While that sounds encouraging on the surface, it also creates enormous pressure moving forward. Teams rarely sustain contender status long term when depth players consistently outperform franchise cornerstones.

At some point, stars must become stars again.

Otherwise, the margin for error becomes dangerously thin.

Manny Machado’s Slump Feels Bigger Than Baseball

GettyManny Machado #13 of the San Diego Padres walks back to the dugout after striking out against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on May 05, 2026 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

That is why Machado’s struggles are beginning to generate more emotional concern than statistical concern.

This is no longer simply about bad luck or timing at the plate.

Machado is now 33 years old and entering the stage of his career where every prolonged slump naturally triggers questions about aging and decline. Fair or unfair, fans begin wondering whether they are watching temporary struggles or the beginning of something permanent.

The Padres desperately need the answer to be temporary.

Because if San Diego’s veteran core starts declining while the organization still carries one of baseball’s heaviest payroll commitments, the franchise could quickly find itself trapped between contention and collapse.

That possibility becomes even scarier when viewed through the lens of the Dodgers rivalry.

Los Angeles continues operating like a machine while the Padres search for offensive consistency from the players supposed to define this era of baseball in San Diego.

Right now, winning is masking the anxiety.

But if the Padres start slipping in the standings while Machado, Tatis, and Merrill continue struggling, the emotional tone surrounding this season could change very quickly.

And suddenly, what currently looks like patience could start sounding a lot more like denial.