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USGS Publications Warehouse

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Regression models for estimating suspended sediment conce...
Megan K. Kenworthy · 2026-01-01 · via USGS Publications Warehouse

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Abstract

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with Idaho Power, developed streamflow- based regression models to estimate suspended sediment concentration (SSC) and loads on the Snake River at Weiser, Idaho site (U.S. Geological Survey streamgage 13269000; hereafter referred to as “Snake at Weiser site”). This site sits upstream from the dams and reservoirs of the Hells Canyon Complex and the Hells Canyon National Recreation Area, where large sandbars along the Snake River that provide recreation and riparian habitat and host archaeological resources have declined since 1973. Analyses of samples from historical (1977- 2003) and modern (2017- 22) periods show that SSC has decreased over time, with median concentrations declining from 50 milligrams per liter (mg/L) to 28 mg/L. Mann- Kendall trend tests confirm statistically significant declines in total SSC and the fine and sand fractions of suspended sediment through the full period of record.

Regression models specific to each period outperformed models using the full dataset, suggesting changes in the sediment supply to this reach of the Snake River and highlighting the need for period- based approaches. Regression models for total SSC and fine sediment were more accurate than those for sand, which exhibited greater error and bias, likely reflecting a sand supply limited by upstream dams. The regression model for modern period total SSC and a previously developed acoustic surrogate model showed similar performance, indicating both methods are viable for estimating SSC and loads.

These findings help to better quantify suspended sediment concentrations and loads upstream of the Hells Canyon Complex and provide resource managers with tools to better quantify sediment loads affecting reservoir storage and the maintenance of sandbars in the Hells Canyon National Recreation Area.

Suggested Citation

Kenworthy, M.K., 2026, Regression models for estimating suspended sediment concentrations and loads and comparison with acoustic surrogate model on the Snake River, Weiser, Idaho, 1977–2022: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2026–5007, 27 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20265007.

ISSN: 2328-0328 (online)

Study Area

Table of Contents

  • Abstract
  • Introduction
  • Methods
  • Results
  • Discussion
  • Summary
  • References Cited
Publication type Report
Publication Subtype USGS Numbered Series
Title Regression models for estimating suspended sediment concentrations and loads and comparison with acoustic surrogate model on the Snake River, Weiser, Idaho, 1977–2022
Series title Scientific Investigations Report
Series number 2026-5007
DOI 10.3133/sir20265007
Publication Date May 07, 2026
Year Published 2026
Language English
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Publisher location Reston, VA
Contributing office(s) Idaho Water Science Center
Description Report: vi, 27 p.; 2 Data Releases
Country United States
State Idaho, Nevada, Oregon, Utah
Other Geospatial Snake River
Online Only (Y/N) Y
Additional Online Files (Y/N) N
Additional publication details