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TrendForce

[News] ASE Reportedly Raises Advanced Packaging Quotes by More Than 20% in Latest AI-Driven Price Hike [News] Musk’s TeraFab Lands First Major Hire as 18-Year Intel Veteran With 18A Experience Joins as Director [Insights] Memory Spot Price Update: DRAM Spot Prices See Gains in Low-Density DDR4 and DDR3 Amid Sideways Market [News] Passive Component Prices Rise as YAGEO Reportedly Begins Broadest Capacitor Hike in Years on July 1 [News] Intel Reportedly Breaks Ground on Santa Clara Expansion for Next-Gen EUV Mask Capacity [News] World’s First Mass-Production Line for 6-/8-Inch Homoepitaxial Gallium Oxide Wafers Comes Online [News] Samsung Electro-Mechanics Lands KRW 450B 1-Year MLCC Contract as AI Spurs Long-Term Agreements [News] Raw Material Inflation Deepens: FULLTECH Hikes Glass Fiber Cloth Prices Up to 30%; VPEC Adjusts Epi Wafer Prices [News] Samsung Reportedly Restarts 1.4nm Push, Targets 2029 Mass Production to Close Gap with TSMC, Intel [News] ByteDance Reportedly Eyes Next-Gen In-House CPU for 2H27 Mass Production; May Partner With Qualcomm [News] Samsung, SK hynix 800 Trillion Won Expansion Strains Chipmaking Tool Supply, Potentially Pressures TSMC, Intel [News] Goertek-Backed 12-Inch AR Optical Wafer Fab Commenced Production [News] China Signs First Domestic Ultra Wide Bandgap Semiconductor Full-Chain Project [News] Samsung, SK hynix, Micron Face U.S. Class-Action Lawsuit Over Alleged DRAM Supply Manipulation [News] Korea’s High-Purity CO₂ Inventory Reportedly Falls Below One Month; Samsung, SK hynix Under Pressure [News] TSMC’s 2Q Margins Reportedly Near 70% amid Strong 3/5nm Demand, 3Q Revenue Seen Growing Over 10% [Sponsored Content] Where Do You Stand as AI Reshapes Industries? [News] Mapping the Micro LED Optical Interconnect Ecosystem [News] Asian Memory Makers Turn to U.S. Capital Markets: SK hynix and Kioxia Advance ADR Plans [News] Lenovo Reportedly Sees Higher Memory Prices Becoming the New Normal Into 2030 [News] TSMC on Terafab: No Shortcuts in Foundry; Confirms Next-Gen LPU Project amid Samsung Rivalry [News] TSMC N3 Tightens on AI Demand; Arizona 2nd Fab 3nm Volume Production in 2H27, Kumamoto in 2028 [News] TSMC Sees 2Q Sales Up 10% QoQ to $40.2B; Margins Rise to 65.5%–67.5%, Capex at Top End of $52–56B [News] TSMC 1Q26 Net Income Soars 58% YoY to NT$572.5B Record, EPS NT$22.08; Gross Margin Beats Forecast at 66.2% [News] Tesla AI5 Reportedly Uses SK hynix Memory, Samsung LPDDR5X; Samsung SF2T Process Applied Ahead of AI6 [News] TSMC 1Q Profit Seen Up ~50% to Record; Meta–Broadcom AI Chips Reportedly Target 2nm, CoWoS-L in 1H27 [News] San’an Announced Three Advances in Optical Communications Business [News] Intel Reportedly to Brief Staff on TeraFab Involvement in Coming Weeks, While Key Foundry Details Remain Limited [News] ASML Raises 2026 Sales Outlook to €36B–€40B on Memory, Logic Demand; South Korea Share Hits 45% [News] Chinese Startup Dishan Reportedly Develops 2nm AI Chip in Prototype Verification; Foundry Access Uncertain
[News] Samsung Reportedly Plans 50% HBM Capacity Surge in...
2025-12-30 · via TrendForce


As the HBM4 race heats up, earlier reports from outlets like SeDaily indicate that both Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have started delivering paid final HBM4 samples to NVIDIA. Riding the wave of strong demand, Etnews reports that Samsung plans to ramp up its HBM production capacity by 50% in 2026.

While Samsung remains tight-lipped on specific plans to meet surging demand, Etnews reports the company aims to boost HBM production to around 250,000 wafers per month by the end of 2026—a roughly 47% increase from the current 170,000 wafers.

For context, the report explains that Samsung’s current capacity is roughly on par with SK hynix at 160,000–170,000 wafers per month, though actual output has lagged due to challenges in meeting the demand from NVIDIA.

According to Etnews, Samsung’s investment will involve converting existing lines and expanding the new Pyeongtaek 4 (P4) line. The report cites sources saying major facility investments could begin as early as next month, with key HBM manufacturing equipment reportedly in the final stages of testing.

Another source notes that Samsung’s recent HBM investment is centered on HBM4. SeDaily reported earlier that Samsung, along with SK hynix, has begun delivering paid final samples to NVIDIA, signaling performance is close to customer specs and negotiations are in a pre-contract phase. The final hurdle remains quality qualification, with volumes and pricing expected to be set in Q1 2026.

TrendForce adds that a definitive outcome will only become clear in the mid-to-late part of the quarter, once contracts are formally finalized.

Amid rising prices across both its DRAM and NAND lines, Samsung is staging a strong comeback from earlier challenges, set to close 2025 well above market expectations. According to the Korea Economic Daily, internal projections for Q4 indicate an operating profit exceeding KRW 20 trillion—over $14 billion at current exchange rates—about 30% higher than the average analyst forecast.

SK hynix Gears up for HBM4 Production

On the other hand, according to The Elec, SK hynix will start commercial production at its new M15X fab four months ahead of schedule, kicking off 1b DRAM output for HBM4 in February.

The fab was originally set for wafer insertion in June, the report notes, with initial production expected at around 10,000 wafers per month and plans to scale severalfold by the end of 2026.

Read more

(Photo credit: Samsung)

Please note that this article cites information from EtnewsSeDaily, the Korea Economic Daily and The Elec.