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CoreWeave: Market Continues To Ignore Its Turnaround, Tha...
JR Research · 2026-06-11 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha

Summary

  • CoreWeave faces market skepticism despite rapid scaling, a $100B backlog, and diversified customer commitments, underperforming Nebius due to debt and capital allocation concerns.
  • CRWV's aggressive asset-backed financing and take-or-pay contracts support infrastructure expansion, but rising interest rates and negative free cash flow projections heighten execution risk.
  • Revenue is projected to grow from $12.7B in 2026 to $80B by 2030 (60% CAGR), with free cash flow nearing breakeven by FY2030, yet short-term profitability remains elusive.
  • With debt costs declining and valuation at 5.5x forward revenue (vs. NBIS's 11x), a sub-$100 share price could present a compelling entry point if execution risks are managed.
  • The market appears to be making a mistake in ignoring its turnaround, providing a massive opportunity for investors to double down now.
  • Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Ultimate Growth Investing get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More »
  • Sitewide Sale 2026: Get 20% Off
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peshkov/iStock via Getty Images

CoreWeave: Credit risks are starting to look less onerous

Things are actually falling into place for CoreWeave (CRWV), but surprisingly the market is not convinced. Why? It's obvious that archrival Nebius (NBIS) has been on a discernible

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of NVDA either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.