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Micron's Rally Is Missing The Bigger Shift
2026-04-24 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha

Summary

  • Micron stands at the center of a structural shift, with memory scarcity now driving strategic customer behavior and premium pricing.
  • Unlike past cycles, HBM and DRAM demand from hyperscalers is creating sustained tight supply, supporting robust margins and multi-year agreements.
  • Despite strong Q2 results, MU trades at low multiples—8x FY2026 and under 5x FY2027 consensus EPS—leaving significant rerating potential if trends persist.
  • Risks include potential overbuilding, demand plateau, and competitive pressures, but the quality and scarcity-driven nature of current earnings support a bullish outlook.
Micron office building in San Jose, California, USA - June 8, 2023.

JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

Introduction

It’s easy to look at Micron’s (MU) recent rally and assume this is just another memory cycle playing out the way it always does. On the contrary, I believe it is right here when

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of MU either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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