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Launching Strategic Wave Investments: Disciplined Small-Cap Research In An Era Of Disruption
2026-05-04 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha
Road sign with multiple paths to Disruption

mixmagic/iStock via Getty Images

For more than five years, I have shared my research on emerging technologies and small-cap opportunities with the Seeking Alpha community. Today, I'm thrilled to announce the official launch of Strategic Wave Investments, a dedicated investing group on Seeking Alpha designed to help investors navigate the most volatile—and rewarding—corners of the market.

Are you an investor interested in emerging technology but overwhelmed by the hype and volatility of the small-cap market? Strategic Wave Investments is designed for sophisticated investors who look beyond a quick trade. Our service applies institutional-grade rigor to identify high-potential, early-stage companies positioned to profit from industry disruption. If you want deep-dive research into disruptive technologies, the innovators behind them, and a disciplined strategy for navigating high-risk, high-reward opportunities, this service is designed for you.

And you can lock in your price for Strategic Wave Investments for $599 a year. More of what you get with the service follows.

My Background and Approach

Twenty-five years ago, I wrote down the first version of the rules that make up my investment strategy and named the plan Strategic Waves. Fifteen years ago, my profitable hobby became a full-time occupation. Ten years ago, I began writing about companies on various platforms and joined Seeking Alpha five years ago.

In 2023, I launched the Strategic Wave Trading Private newsletter, and last year, the project became a family firm, Strategic Waves Capital Management, when my wife, a qualified lawyer, joined as a partner.

This year will see the launch of Strategic Wave Investments following further improvements to the plan informed by the results of the published Strategic Wave Trading newsletter.

Strategic Wave Investments builds on solid foundations. We already have a proven track record in short-term trading. We have tightened the selection process for companies and increased the time horizon; hence, the change of name from SW Trading to SW Investments.

Why Strategic Waves

Small-cap investing is often treated like a game of chance. Management teams are "notoriously positive," timelines are frequently unrealistic, and retail investors are often the last to know when a thesis has shifted.

At Strategic Waves Capital Management, we focus on emerging technology. Technology with the potential to be a disruptive force. We don't just look for "interesting" tech; it's the scale of disruption that interests us and the specific point where technology meets a high probability of share price appreciation. Our goal is to move past the hype and apply institutional-grade rigor to companies on the cusp of commercialization.

The Methodology:

Success in this sector requires more than just a balance sheet review. We call our strategy Strategic Waves - it's a funnel, and that funnel has been designed using my academic background and personal business experience. I have an MBA and a former technology start-up behind me. I started my career on the trading desk of the Bank of America, and my last job was teaching graduate students game theory. All of this led me to Strategic Waves, an investment strategy that helps pick winners before the broader market in a sea of small-company opportunities.

A funnel graphic

The Strategic Waves Strategy (Author)

It begins with Discovery: We identify technologies capable of being disruptive forces in a substantial market and track them as they approach commercialization. Some technologies are too far from commercialization, and we track those for the future. Some are likely to benefit the incumbent large manufacturers, and we pass on those. Others, however, have the right characteristics of high disruptive potential, small-cap innovators, and near-term deployment.

Next comes Filtering: As a technology approaches commercialization, we vet the players, we look at the managers and the finances, but we really home in on the technology and the IP of each company. Does it have a moat? Can it scale? Will people pay for the product? And are they capable of delivering on time? Our rules cause us to miss some opportunities, but we miss far more failures.

Finally, Execution: We endeavor to work out a realistic price target for shares we buy. Our preferred method is to build a mathematical model that provides a fair value from a discounted cash flow. Our minimum acceptable forecast is a 100% return. We don't always get that much in the end, but it's the final threshold a company must meet before we invest our own money in our high-conviction trade alerts.

What Members Get

This is a “look over my shoulder” service. I trade real money in live accounts, and as a member, you will receive:

Two Portfolios: The original Strategic Wave Trading portfolio (now three years in, self-funding and profitable) plus the new Strategic Wave Investments portfolio (an improved, longer-term investment version of the original plan) that will begin trading on May 1 with four high-conviction plays from the original newsletter.

Real-Time Trade Alerts: I never act without informing subscribers first, and more than 80% of the companies I invest in are not covered on the public-facing site. Expect two or three investments per month, with slightly more trades in the short-term trading account.

Deep Dive Analysis: Every trade alert is a deep dive into the company, but these theses are regularly revisited and updated via investing notes and smaller articles covering specific news and events.

Weekly Update: A look at portfolio performance with a review of a point of interest. These are probably the articles subscribers enjoy most; at least they receive the highest readership and the largest number of comments. Subscribers like the way the Weekly often covers a technology and considers all of the players and what each has to offer.

Monthly Sentiment Review: This is a review of the bear case. As a long-only firm, we have to consider the bear case. What if a bear market arrives? What might be the trigger, and what should we do about it? The Monthly Sentiment feature often sets the context for the following month of trading. Should we be more cautious? Choose more defensive stocks and exit some plays toward cash? Or is it time to go all in and buy heavily in a particular sector?

Why Now?

The market is shifting focus back to business fundamentals, and many of our recent investments have taken advantage of low prices driven by the risk-off move. Multiple technologies from disparate sectors are entering the final stages before their first commercial ramp. From quantum computers to psychedelic drugs, a plethora of options have appeared, and our years of tracking these technologies will help us choose the right company to invest our hard-earned money in.

The investing group explains how I profit from my investment strategy and covers a wider variety of stocks.

Performance

Of course, we cannot guarantee future performance, and history does not guarantee anything, but in our case, it will help you decide whether Strategic Wave and its early-stage investments in emerging technologies are suitable for you.

We launched Strategic Wave Trading, our private newsletter, in August 2023. It has been a great success, gathering more than 700 paid subscribers. We have averaged four trades a month, but that will drop with the new investment product.

These are the monthly returns from our Private Newsletter portfolio (all figures correct as of April 21, 2026):

Returns from Strategic Wave Investments

Strategic Wave Trading Returns

The total return is 452%, outstanding, and it's 3x the return of gold, 5x the S&P 500, and 3x Bitcoin over the same period. However, you can see in the monthly data periods of drawdown and multiple consecutive months of loss. The volatility we experience is not for everyone and not suitable for money you depend on. The portfolio has a negligible 0.07% dividend yield but a 106% annualized return.

Our portfolio is stacked with small-cap, pre-profit companies. It's long-only, invested in high-risk, early-stage companies with no hedges. Volatility is part and parcel of what we do. Over the longer term, it will work out as long as we continue to pick good companies that eventually deliver on their potential.

The makeup of the portfolio will never change. As soon as a technology becomes established and the first wave of commercialization is complete, we exit and move to another emerging one. It keeps the potential returns high but also the risk.

The Future

Strategic Wave Investments is all about the technologies we are currently invested in: Drones, quantum computing, space, autonomous vehicles, psychedelic drugs, nuclear, and recycling.

Several technologies have arrived at the top of the funnel, including: Quantum sensing, photons, and AI-inspired medical care.

A number of technologies are approaching commercialization, and we're actively investigating the players. These technologies include: Environmental clean up, eVTOL, humanoid robots, rare earth materials, fuel cells, and two-dimensional materials.

We will continue to add new technologies to the funnel, assess the players in the technologies we like, and invest in companies we believe have high potential.

Conclusion

Thanks for reading this article. If you think you might be interested in the service, please have a look at our investing group home page. You can also view an example of a recent "Invest Alert" and a "Note" by visiting my blog on Seeking Alpha.

a graphic of a strategy

Strategic Waves Strategy (Author)

The service will be priced at $599 per annum, and you will have the option to cancel within the first month for an 11-month refund. Should you decide to join, your price will be locked in as long as you're a member.