Summary

• Strong rally ahead of earnings raises expectations risk: Advanced Micro Devices has surged ~92% from March lows, driven by AI optimism, with markets now heavily focused on forward guidance rather than just earnings beats.
• “Sell-the-news” risk in play: Despite strong expected growth (revenue +33% y/y, EPS +34% y/y), AMD’s valuation hinges on AI momentum and hyperscaler demand, increasing the risk of a pullback if guidance underwhelms.
• Technical signals warn of potential pullback: Overbought conditions, bearish RSI divergence, and a breakout above its ascending channel suggest a mean reversion decline below 380.20, with key supports at 310.20 and 287.60.

By Kelvin Wong

Ahead of Q1 earnings release today after the close of the US session, expectations for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) remain elevated, with the stock having rallied strongly on AI-driven optimism.

During

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