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Nagarro: Down Again, But History Shows The Volatility And Potential
2026-05-21 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha

Summary

  • Nagarro SE is reiterated as a Buy with a €65/share price target, reflecting attractive long-term risk/reward after a volatile cycle.
  • Recent share price volatility stemmed from overreactions to short-term AI partnership news, aggressive buybacks, FX losses, and working capital challenges.
  • NGRRF trades below 11x P/E, offering more than 100% potential upside to 2028E if it reverts to a 15x multiple and achieves 9% AEPS growth.
  • Despite its small size and inherent volatility, NGRRF stock is fundamentally secure, and profitable, pays a 2.44% dividend, and meets 4/5 quality and valuation criteria.
  • Looking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at Wolf of Value. Learn More »

It's unfortunate to say that you cannot always just follow my articles on the free site. Due to the amount of coverage that I do, you need to also (if you want to follow my targets) note down the various price targets ("PTs") and FV's (where applicable) that I give a company to act in a way that I, personally, would, if you are so inclined.

Nagarro SE (NGRRF) is a perfect example of this. I gave the company a Buy in my last article, but this one was close to 8 months ago at this point. The company had a massive bounce in 2025-2026, which caused me to rotate my entire position at a bit of a profit because I saw this gain as unlikely to persist. This went entirely in line with my view of the company as somewhat speculative, in the article that you can find here.

The core that you must consider here is that I gave the company a target of €65/share. That meant in turn that I set an alert at €65 and also one at €70/share. The company not only broke €65 and €70/share, it broke €80, which is where I sold the last of my shares on the 12th of December in accordance with alerts. Due to the volume of companies that I cover, I do try to keep up with everything, but Nagarro was never the largest nor the most significant position in my portfolio.

And because it fell right back down again, to levels where it now trades below my previous entry, it followed my expected trajectory.

There are, of course, ways for you to get more current commentary on a company I cover. But as things are here, what I will do is update on a company that fulfilled my investment and fair

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in NGRRF over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

While this article may sound like financial advice, please observe that the author is not a CFA or in any way licensed to give financial advice. It may be structured as such, but it is not financial advice. Investors are required and expected to do their own due diligence and research prior to any investment. Short-term trading, options trading/investment and futures trading are potentially extremely risky investment styles. They generally are not appropriate for someone with limited capital, limited investment experience, or a lack of understanding for the necessary risk tolerance involved. I own the European/Scandinavian tickers (not the ADRs) of all European/Scandinavian companies listed in my articles. I own the Canadian tickers of all Canadian stocks I write about. Please note that investing in European/Non-US stocks comes with withholding tax risks specific to the company's domicile as well as your personal situation. Investors should always consult a tax professional as to the overall impact of dividend withholding taxes and ways to mitigate these.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.