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Weekly Commentary: Warsh
Doug Noland · 2026-06-20 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha

Summary

  • Listening intently to Kevin Warsh's post-meeting press conference was a reminder of why I admired Fed Governor Warsh and was disappointed to see him leave the institution.
  • Two-year Treasury yields surged 13 bps in post-press conference Wednesday trading - the largest jump since April 9th, 2025.
  • Markets are pricing a 4.03% policy rate at year-end - with a 4.14% peak rate at the March 2027 FOMC meeting.
  • The Warsh Fed might orchestrate a tightening, with a focus on containing both inflation and precarious financial excess.
The Federal Reserve

Douglas Rissing/iStock via Getty Images

He was impressive. Listening intently to Kevin Warsh's post-meeting press conference was a reminder of why I admired Fed Governor Warsh (2006 to 2011) and was disappointed to see him leave the institution. The new Chair conveyed complete