Bitcoin Holds The Recovery Zone, But The Options Tape Is Still Too Thin To Call A New Regime
2026-05-16
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via All Articles on Seeking Alpha
Summary
- Bitcoin held the $80K-$81K area during the May 10-15 window, but the options tape was too thin to confirm a new bullish regime.
- The strongest BTC signal came on May 14, when the June 5 $82K call concentrated the tape and net delta turned positive.
- I still do not trust the upside read fully because several call-heavy days showed negative net delta.
- ETH remains the weaker confirmation layer, with short-dated put activity around $2,275-2,300.
- I lean slightly constructive while $80K holds, but I would not get ahead of the tape before $82K gets broader confirmation.
Rafa Jodar/iStock Editorial via Getty Images
1. Investment Thesis
The $80K area is holding, and I can see why the bulls want to build a case here. But the options tape is not giving me enough to go with them yet.
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