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Unum: Careful About Investing In Insurance Right Now
2026-04-24 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha

Summary

  • Unum Group is rated Hold with a $52/share price target due to limited upside at current valuation.
  • UNM's 9-10x P/E and 2.38% yield offer little premium over risk-free rates, requiring substantial growth or premiumization to justify higher multiples.
  • Persistent LTC block risks, high disability claim incidence, and diversification into lower-margin lines constrain valuation expansion.
  • Forecasted UNM EPS growth above 10% appears optimistic; guidance was recently cut to below 1%, and Q1 '26 results are expected to disappoint.
  • I do much more than just articles at Wolf of Value: Members get access to model portfolios, regular updates, a chat room, and more. Learn More »
The Statue of Freedom on top of The United States Capitol building in Washington D.C.

Marcus Jones/iStock via Getty Images

In this article, I'll be updating on Unum Group (UNM), a company I looked at about two months back. I want to reiterate some of the risks and challenges I saw and the valuation

35.17K Followers

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of UNM either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

While this article may sound like financial advice, please observe that the author is not a CFA or in any way licensed to give financial advice. It may be structured as such, but it is not financial advice. Investors are required and expected to do their own due diligence and research prior to any investment. Short-term trading, options trading/investment and futures trading are potentially extremely risky investment styles. They generally are not appropriate for someone with limited capital, limited investment experience, or a lack of understanding for the necessary risk tolerance involved. I own the European/Scandinavian tickers (not the ADRs) of all European/Scandinavian companies listed in my articles. I own the Canadian tickers of all Canadian stocks I write about. Please note that investing in European/Non-US stocks comes with withholding tax risks specific to the company's domicile as well as your personal situation. Investors should always consult a tax professional as to the overall impact of dividend withholding taxes and ways to mitigate these.

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