Summary

• U.S. midstream firms and AI infrastructure firms are positioned for long-term benefit given secular compute demand.
• Oil's inflection point is estimated around $100/barrel, with a worst-case scenario modeled at $140 and a safety premium on U.S. fuels likely.
• MLPs offer attractive income for long-term portfolios; patience and selective trimming of winners are recommended to capitalize on market overshoots.
• AI infrastructure and data center demand remain robust, favoring contract-driven investments, with REITs and select tech names like Microsoft for lower-risk exposure.
• Energy import-heavy countries have borne the brunt of the crisis.

Heading into big tech earnings season with a continuing Middle East oil and gas market crisis is a strange place to be. Markets are zig-zagging, and economies around the globe are tightening their proverbial belts, owing largely to energy prices and supply constraints. I

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