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Settling Into Uncertainty
2026-04-26 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha

Summary

  • U.S. equity markets advanced for a fourth straight week—notching a fresh series of record highs—as investors cheered a solid start to earnings season, resilient economic data, and increased Fed clarity.
  • Markets balanced solid corporate results with a fluid geopolitical backdrop, including an extended ceasefire, intermittent peace talks, and persistent uncertainty around shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • The S&P 500 gained 0.6%, while the Nasdaq 100 surged 2.3% on semiconductor strength. Treasury yields moved modestly higher as oil surged by more than 10% on the week.
  • Real estate earnings season kicked into gear, highlighted by continued strength from retail and net lease REITs, a record-setting quarter from data center REITs, and mixed results from mortgage REITs.
  • Another REIT gets bought: Sila Realty Trust surged nearly 20% after announcing that it agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Blue Owl Capital in an all-cash $2.4B deal at a 19% premium.
  • iREIT®+HOYA Capital members get exclusive access to our real-world portfolio. See all our investments here »

Real Estate Weekly Outlook

U.S. equity markets advanced for a fourth straight week—notching a fresh series of record highs—as investors cheered a solid start to earnings season, resilient retail sales data, and increased clarity on the central bank front, largely shrugging off a renewed surge in oil prices and mounting signs of economic headwinds in more oil-exposed international markets. Markets navigated a complex crosscurrent of resilient corporate earnings alongside a fluid geopolitical backdrop marked by an extended ceasefire punctuated by on-again, off-again peace talks and continued uncertainty surrounding shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, investors digested incremental clarity on the future leadership of the Federal Reserve, as the DOJ formally dropped its probe into Jerome Powell, clearing the path for confirmation hearings for Kevin Warsh as a potential successor and a final farewell press conference from Chair Powell in the week ahead.

Advancing for a fourth straight week, the S&P 500 edged higher by 0.6%, extending its streak of record highs as investors continued to lean into a constructive earnings backdrop. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 led the way with a 2.3% weekly advance, powered by strength in semiconductor names following upbeat results from resurgent chip maker Intel. Growth stocks extended their winning streak over value to a fourth straight week, further eroding value’s year-to-date performance advantage. The Mid-Cap 400 slipped 0.2% on the week, while the Dow also finished modestly lower. Pressured by the jump in benchmark rates, real estate equities lagged despite a solid start to earnings season. The Equity REIT Index slipped 1.4%, with 13 of 18 property sectors in negative territory, while Mortgage REITs eked out a gain of 0.1%. The Housing Index finished flat, as a rebound from single-family homebuilders was offset by softness from residential REITs ahead of

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of RIET, HOMZ, IRET, ALL HOLDINGS IN THE IREIT+HOYA PORTFOLIOS either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Hoya Capital Research & Index Innovations ("Hoya Capital") is an affiliate of Hoya Capital Real Estate, a registered investment advisory firm based in Rowayton, Connecticut, that provides investment advisory services to ETFs, individuals, and institutions. Hoya Capital Research & Index Innovations provides non-advisory services including market commentary, research, and index administration focused on publicly traded securities in the real estate industry. This published commentary is for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing on this site nor any commentary published by Hoya Capital is intended to be investment, tax, or legal advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. This commentary is impersonal and should not be considered a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific individual, nor should it be viewed as a solicitation or offer for any advisory service offered by Hoya Capital Real Estate. Please consult with your investment, tax, or legal adviser regarding your individual circumstances before investing. The views and opinions in all published commentary are as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy, and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. Any market data quoted represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee that any historical trend illustrated herein will be repeated in the future, and there is no way to predict precisely when such a trend will begin. There is no guarantee that any outlook made in this commentary will be realized. Readers should understand that investing involves risk, and loss of principal is possible. Investments in real estate companies and/or housing industry companies involve unique risks, as do investments in ETFs. The information presented does not reflect the performance of any fund or other account managed or serviced by Hoya Capital Real Estate. An investor cannot invest directly in an index, and index performance does not reflect the deduction of any fees, expenses, or taxes. Hoya Capital Real Estate and Hoya Capital Research & Index Innovations have no business relationship with any company discussed or mentioned and never receive compensation from any company discussed or mentioned. Hoya Capital Real Estate, its affiliates, and/or its clients and/or its employees may hold positions in securities or funds discussed on this website and in our published commentary. A complete list of holdings and additional important disclosures is available at www.HoyaCapital.com.

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