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Benign U.K. Inflation Data Reduces Chance Of June Rate Hike
2026-05-20 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha

Summary

  • Yes, UK inflation is set to rise again later this year, having dipped below 3% in April.
  • But the data should reassure the Bank of England that last year's food price spike hasn't triggered a wave of second-round effects across the inflation basket.
  • Like yesterday's jobs numbers, the data questions the need for aggressive rate hikes.
Wooden toy blocks showing the word INFLATION on a national flag of the United Kingdom. Illustration of the concept of continuous increase in prices of British products and services

Dragon Claws/iStock via Getty Images

By James Smith

Today’s UK inflation data, like yesterday’s jobs numbers, questions the need for aggressive rate hikes. We continue to think markets are overestimating the Bank of England’s willingness to tighten policy at current

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