Summary

• Bitcoin is poised for a major bull cycle as systemic liquidity stress forces the Fed to expand its balance sheet, historically driving BTC exponential rallies.
• Repo market dysfunction, rising corporate debt maturities, and minimum bank reserves signal imminent Fed intervention, with M2 money supply growth outpacing GDP and fueling asset inflation.
• BTC's fixed supply, computational security, and regulatory clarity position it as a superior hedge against fiat debasement and systemic instability versus altcoins and traditional assets.
• Technical analysis targets BTC at $157,000 in nominal terms (adjusted to $100,000 in 2018 dollars), with spot ETFs (IBIT) and leveraged proxies (MSTR) offering alternative high-upside exposure.

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of BTC-USD, IBIT, SPX either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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