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Rates Spark: It's Jay's Day
ING Economic and Financial Analysis · 2026-04-29 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha

Summary

  • It's Fed day. Given the challenging war-impacted inflation environment, it won't cost much for the Fed to adopt a hawkish tilt while remaining in a wait-and-see mode.
  • There will also be questions on the incoming Kevin Warsh and Powell's intention to stay-or-go. But likely to be swatted away. As it's really Jay's big day, his last as Chair.
  • Central banks’ current challenge is about managing expectations amid a geopolitical situation that remains very uncertain.
Metallic Federal Reserve System Over Financial Chart Background

Getty Images

By Padhraic Garvey, CFA, Regional Head of Research, Americas

The Fed, the balance sheet and prognosis for Treasuries

Since the T-bills buying programme (re)commenced in mid-December, holdings of bills have risen to over US$425bn (from US$195bn). That has expanded the Fed's

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