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REITs Excel, Earnings Swell, Fed Rebels
2026-05-03 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha

Summary

  • U.S. equity markets advanced for a fifth straight week - their longest winning streak since 2024 - as strong earnings, resilient data, and hopes for lasting Iran peace fueled optimism.
  • Investors looked through another oil-price surge and inflationary pressure, focusing instead on corporate resilience and economic strength despite a complex macro backdrop shaped by geopolitical and policy uncertainty.
  • The Fed held rates steady in an unusually fractured 8-4 vote, while Powell’s plan to remain on the Board broke precedent and raised politically charged succession questions.
  • The busiest week of REIT earnings season delivered a decidedly positive slate of upside surprises, with 31 REITs raising their full-year FFO guidance, alongside reports of some mega-sized REIT M&A.
  • Strength was broadest across senior housing, hotels, strip centers, and data centers, while housing-related sectors showed early stabilization; office and industrial were mixed but improving, while lab space remained the clear laggard.
  • iREIT®+HOYA Capital members get exclusive access to our real-world portfolio. See all our investments here »

Real Estate Weekly Outlook

U.S. equity markets advanced for a fifth straight week - their longest weekly winning streak since 2024 - as investors cheered a strong slate of corporate earnings, resilient economic data, and hopes that a fragile Iranian ceasefire could evolve into a more durable peace. Markets continued to look through a renewed surge in oil prices and the inflationary pressure rippling through the economy, instead focusing on signs that corporate America remains well-positioned despite the increasingly complex macro backdrop. Meanwhile, investors digested a potentially historic transition at the Federal Reserve, as Jerome Powell presided over what is likely his final meeting as Chair but signaled plans to remain on the Fed Board, breaking with recent precedent and setting up a politically charged reshuffling process. The Fed held benchmark rates steady, but the decision drew an unusually fractured 8-4 vote, with three hawkish dissents objecting to the statement's easing bias and one dovish dissent favoring a cut.

Extending its record-breaking run, the S&P 500 gained 0.9% as investors continued to lean into the constructive earnings backdrop. About 80% of S&P 500 companies have topped first-quarter earnings estimates thus far, helping fuel the best monthly performance for stocks since 2020. Economic data added to the constructive tone, with first-quarter GDP growth revised to a 2.0% annualized rate following a tepid 0.5% gain in the prior quarter. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 led the way with a 1.5% weekly advance, powered by another strong slate of results from five of the Mag-7 tech giants. The Small-Cap 600 advanced 0.9%, while the Mid-Cap 400 finished flat on the week. Real estate equities joined the advance despite renewed upward pressure on benchmark interest rates. The Equity REIT Index gained 0.8%, with 9 of 18 property sectors in positive territory, supported by

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of RIET, HOMZ, IRET, ALL HOLDINGS IN THE IREIT+HOYA PORTFOLIOS either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Hoya Capital Research & Index Innovations ("Hoya Capital") is an affiliate of Hoya Capital Real Estate, a registered investment advisory firm based in Rowayton, Connecticut, that provides investment advisory services to ETFs, individuals, and institutions. Hoya Capital Research & Index Innovations provides non-advisory services including market commentary, research, and index administration focused on publicly traded securities in the real estate industry. This published commentary is for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing on this site nor any commentary published by Hoya Capital is intended to be investment, tax, or legal advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. This commentary is impersonal and should not be considered a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific individual, nor should it be viewed as a solicitation or offer for any advisory service offered by Hoya Capital Real Estate. Please consult with your investment, tax, or legal adviser regarding your individual circumstances before investing. The views and opinions in all published commentary are as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy, and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. Any market data quoted represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee that any historical trend illustrated herein will be repeated in the future, and there is no way to predict precisely when such a trend will begin. There is no guarantee that any outlook made in this commentary will be realized. Readers should understand that investing involves risk, and loss of principal is possible. Investments in real estate companies and/or housing industry companies involve unique risks, as do investments in ETFs. The information presented does not reflect the performance of any fund or other account managed or serviced by Hoya Capital Real Estate. An investor cannot invest directly in an index, and index performance does not reflect the deduction of any fees, expenses, or taxes. Hoya Capital Real Estate and Hoya Capital Research & Index Innovations have no business relationship with any company discussed or mentioned and never receive compensation from any company discussed or mentioned. Hoya Capital Real Estate, its affiliates, and/or its clients and/or its employees may hold positions in securities or funds discussed on this website and in our published commentary. A complete list of holdings and additional important disclosures is available at www.HoyaCapital.com.

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