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Japan's Real Wages Rose In March, Boosting Odds Of A June Hike
2026-05-08 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha

Summary

  • Steady wage gains are strengthening the case for a Bank of Japan rate hike in June.
  • Clearly, persistent uncertainty in the Middle East poses a risk to this outlook.
  • Yet, any hesitancy by the BoJ to proceed with further tightening could increase pressure on government bonds and JPY.
Japanese yen and percentage increase.

Yusuke Ide/iStock via Getty Images

By Min Joo Kang, Senior Economist, South Korea and Japan

Labour cash earnings rose in March, yet weaker than expected

Japan’s labour cash earnings rose 2.7% year-on-year in March (vs a revised 3.4% in February, 3.2% market consensus). Regular wages

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