Q2 GDP Nowcast Steady At 2.5% As U.S.-Iran Talks Progress
James Picerno·2026-06-22·via All Articles on Seeking Alpha
Summary
The US–Iran conflict appears to be winding down, but even if such optimism is premature, the American economy remains on track to post a stronger growth rate in the upcoming second quarter GDP report.
Output growth for Q2 is currently estimated at 2.5% (real annualized rate), based on the median for a set of nowcasts compiled by The Capital Spectator.
Today’s update is unchanged from our previous median 2.5% growth estimate for Q2.
Duncan_Andison/iStock via Getty Images
The US–Iran conflict appears to be winding down, but even if such optimism is premature, the American economy remains on track to post a stronger growth rate in the upcoming second quarter GDP report.