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Data Vs. Debate: Will The Bond Market Embrace Warsh’s New...
James Picerno · 2026-06-18 · via All Articles on Seeking Alpha

Summary

  • Whatever the motivation or strategy, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, in his public debut on Wednesday, said that “This Committee will deliver price stability,” signaling that a hawkish tilt was possible—perhaps even likely—in the near term.
  • The policy-sensitive 2-year yield rose to 4.20% on Wednesday, the highest level in more than two years.
  • The benchmark 10-year yield also rose, but at 4.50% remains at a middling level compared with the last several months.
  • Perhaps more crucially, the 30-year yield—the most inflation-sensitive maturity—fell, easing to 4.93%, the lowest in over a month.
Close-up bond market trading screen with rising yields. Coupons, rates, yields and other informations are displayed.

Torsten Asmus/iStock via Getty Images

Maybe he said it to counter expectations that he would be dovish and follow President Trump’s demands for lower interest rates. Or maybe it was simply a clear-eyed recognition that inflation has been heating up. Whatever