惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

B
Blog RSS Feed
量子位
Y
Y Combinator Blog
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
B
Blog
U
Unit 42
C
Check Point Blog
I
InfoQ
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
雷峰网
雷峰网
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
博客园 - 【当耐特】
人人都是产品经理
人人都是产品经理
The Cloudflare Blog
H
Help Net Security
MongoDB | Blog
MongoDB | Blog
博客园 - Franky
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
J
Java Code Geeks
Microsoft Azure Blog
Microsoft Azure Blog
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
爱范儿
爱范儿

Semafor

US inflation jumps, though long-term war impact yet to be seen Hospitals consider replacing some radiologists with AI Amazon takes a jab at Nvidia over chips shift VCs step in to fund university upstarts Exclusive: Anthropic is gaining on OpenAI’s revenue, but hasn’t yet eclipsed it Exclusive: AI powerhouses threaten data processing firms A South African artist is changing the way viewers understand Picasso’s Guernica Airbnb faces familiar battle in Cape Town First look at war-related inflation sparks political jostling View: China’s state businesses are reshaping markets in Africa US issues Nigeria travel warning over terrorism, kidnapping FirstRand exits UK business after regulatory hit Afreximbank’s $800M answer to Fitch Exclusive: Navy takes nuclear-powered sub offline after $800 million cost run-up Cuba leader says he will not step down Fed, Treasury summon Wall Street chiefs over AI fears How Bluesky earned its reputation — and why it could be the way of the future China eyes stronger Taiwan influence Orbán slams Hungary’s opposition as he trails in polls Iran war reshapes air travel, perhaps for the long term Tehran residents embrace calm amid tenuous truce Countries lack fiscal capacity to handle war fallout Higher producer prices ease China deflation fears Trump ‘optimistic’ on Iran peace talks Inside the five-year succession plan at a $130B warehouse giant Georges Elhedery on HSBC’s big bets on the Gulf and Asia Warsh’s Fed hearing slips past next week Moore takes on the Sun’s ‘MAGA billionaire’ and more Debatable: AI titans influencing regulation Americans still think taxes are too high, poll finds
View: The US needs Gulf allies for the best Iran endgame
Faisal J. Abbas · 2026-05-21 · via Semafor

It is a good sign that US President Donald Trump says he acted on advice from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE in postponing another round of strikes on Iran and giving negotiations a chance. Gulf states aren’t acting out of sympathy for Tehran. They are engaged because their interests broadly align with those of Washington: containing Iran without setting the region — and the global economy — on fire.

The region’s calculation increasingly diverges from the priorities of the extreme coalition governing Israel. Even inside Israel, critics such as former Prime Minister Ehud Olmert say the government “doesn’t represent a real genuine national security interest” — that it’s not acting in the interests of its own citizens, let alone those of the US or other regional powers.

Most Gulf countries understand the rationale for confronting Iran and agree with the Israeli opinion that having the US involved in the war was a good thing. But there are serious questions in the region about the strategy the US and Israel have adopted.

Israel’s central role makes it much more difficult for most Gulf countries to take sides. Saudi Arabia has made it clear that it did not lobby for, encourage, or want the war to start. The campaign has not produced meaningful change in Tehran and there is little reason to suppose that more strikes would suddenly force Iran into capitulation. This explains the Gulf advice to Washington not to strike again and the kingdom’s refusal to allow its air and ground bases to be used.

When Saudi Arabia allegedly retaliated against Iranian attacks, it did so alone, outside the framework of the US-Israeli military action. The situation would have been different, according to my reading, had some questions been addressed prior to the war about whether the US was prepared to put boots on the ground, was equipped to rapidly rearm, and understood the risks and potential scale of collateral damage.

Some argue that Iran would have attacked the Gulf either way. And yes, Tehran has made it clear that its strategy is to make this war as expensive as possible for the rest of the world, not least by attacking Gulf oil fields, refineries, ports, and cities.

While the Iranian attacks have been disruptive and destructive, there’s a question of scale and proportionality that Gulf countries are considering. They see a difference between attempting to limit energy supplies and destroying critical power and water infrastructure. This hasn’t happened, and the patience shown by Gulf countries isn’t weakness, but a recognition of the reality that, while the Iranian regime may be happy to sacrifice citizens to keep what it has, Gulf Arab countries’ priority is to protect their nationals and foreign residents.

This is why Riyadh is clear in backing the Pakistan-led negotiations, along with a firm stance against returning to war, an insistence on the unconditional reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and a willingness to discuss Iranian threats and concerns thereafter. Many ideas for the future have been floated, such as a non-aggression pact or other regional security architectures.

This may appear as if a new axis is being formed, but there is no change in the overarching alliance that underpins the region’s security. The Gulf states’ military cooperation and strategic alliance with the US is steadfast and ironclad. Perhaps one day, Washington will learn that the best advice comes from the steady Gulf monarchies, not from an Israeli prime minister facing prosecution who is part of a messianic coalition.

A decade ago, the Obama administration insisted on focusing only on the Iranian nuclear threat. Had Gulf partners’ concerns over Tehran’s ballistic missile program and its support for regional militias been addressed back, then it’s unlikely we would be where we are today.

In the longer term, we are all trapped by geography. Iran is a neighbor and we are going to have to coexist, cooperate, and concentrate on building a better future for both Arabs and Iranians. This can only happen if Tehran agrees to end its malicious activities and actions. If a deal comes through negotiations — the preferred route of most Gulf countries — then the purpose of the war would have been achieved without firing an additional bullet.

Faisal J. Abbas is an award-winning journalist and Editor-in-Chief of Arab News.