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US inflation jumps, though long-term war impact yet to be seen Hospitals consider replacing some radiologists with AI Amazon takes a jab at Nvidia over chips shift VCs step in to fund university upstarts Exclusive: Anthropic is gaining on OpenAI’s revenue, but hasn’t yet eclipsed it Exclusive: AI powerhouses threaten data processing firms A South African artist is changing the way viewers understand Picasso’s Guernica Airbnb faces familiar battle in Cape Town First look at war-related inflation sparks political jostling View: China’s state businesses are reshaping markets in Africa US issues Nigeria travel warning over terrorism, kidnapping FirstRand exits UK business after regulatory hit Afreximbank’s $800M answer to Fitch Exclusive: Navy takes nuclear-powered sub offline after $800 million cost run-up Cuba leader says he will not step down Fed, Treasury summon Wall Street chiefs over AI fears How Bluesky earned its reputation — and why it could be the way of the future China eyes stronger Taiwan influence Orbán slams Hungary’s opposition as he trails in polls Iran war reshapes air travel, perhaps for the long term Tehran residents embrace calm amid tenuous truce Countries lack fiscal capacity to handle war fallout Higher producer prices ease China deflation fears Trump ‘optimistic’ on Iran peace talks Inside the five-year succession plan at a $130B warehouse giant Georges Elhedery on HSBC’s big bets on the Gulf and Asia Warsh’s Fed hearing slips past next week Moore takes on the Sun’s ‘MAGA billionaire’ and more Debatable: AI titans influencing regulation Americans still think taxes are too high, poll finds Lawmakers await Pentagon’s mystery funding request Semafor convenes largest US CEO gathering next week in Washington American Gen Zers are growing more uneasy about AI Amazon defends high AI spending AI turbocharges Chinese microdrama industry OpenAI pauses UK Stargate project UK rejects Iran’s Hormuz toll plan Israel, Lebanon to hold direct talks Republicans fight among themselves over their long pre-election to-do list Exclusive: Gulf sovereigns quadruple private credit portfolios Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala soars after dealmaking spree View: Ceasefire offers respite, but no quick rebound for the Gulf A Saudi oil magazine is publishing some of the best writing about the Islamic world Exclusive: SpaceX bankers game plan to blunt post-IPO selling tsunami Exclusive: Hormuz closure turns truckers into logistics saviors View: As Republicans embrace AI in campaigning, Democrats bet on a backlash Oil prices remain high despite Iran ceasefire Ancient philosopher text unearthed Panama pushes back against China in canal row China’s yuan set to strengthen due to Middle East war View: Ceasefire shows the power of Iran’s energy weapon EU faces ‘stagflation’ over war, economy official warns Trump slams NATO again Iran war support Iran maintains firm grip on Hormuz traffic Israel’s attacks in Lebanon threaten Iran war truce VP Vance to lead Iran 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View: Scaling up industrialization in Africa
Alexis Akwag · 2026-04-27 · via Semafor

The Iran war has shown the power of industrialization — just look at the impact of Aliko Dangote’s refinery. The conflict has highlighted Africa’s reliance on fuel imports and the knock-on-effect of higher prices and currency pressure. Dangote’s plant, which has shown how local processing can reduce the impact of such global shocks, has led to him being courted by East Africa to build a similar plant in Tanzania. But the reality is that Africa’s richest man can’t single-handedly drive industrialization across the continent.

A new report by the Africa Finance Corporation argues that efforts to develop infrastructure across the continent hinge on deploying existing capital to develop local processing of fuel, fertilizer, and metals, rather than raising additional funds. The multilateral lender, which hosted last week’s Nairobi event at which the plans for an East African mega refinery were announced, found capital held by African institutions rose to more than $2 trillion from over $1.6 trillion a year ago, partly driven by increased gold holdings in central bank reserves, which surged in value due to record prices.

“The key issue isn’t the size of windfalls but whether they’re effectively utilized to mobilize domestic capital into infrastructural and industrial systems,” Fola Fagbule, AFC’s deputy director and head of financial advisory, told me. There are signs that governments are rolling out policies with this in mind: After it began producing oil two years ago, Senegal committed to capturing hydrocarbon revenues in sovereign wealth funds in order to develop infrastructure projects. And late last year, Kenya and DR Congo announced the creation of similar funds to capture proceeds from selling government stakes in public assets and mining revenues respectively.

But the biggest bottlenecks that threaten scaling industrialization revolve around energy and political will. Stable power, which much of the continent still struggles to supply, is essential to drive industrialization. Converting economic headroom into the factories and power lines required for industrialization will also rely on governments committing to the pursuit of long-term projects with timelines that extend far beyond election cycles. Identifying Africa’s dormant capital is a great first step, but there’s a long way to go.