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US inflation jumps, though long-term war impact yet to be seen Hospitals consider replacing some radiologists with AI Amazon takes a jab at Nvidia over chips shift VCs step in to fund university upstarts Exclusive: Anthropic is gaining on OpenAI’s revenue, but hasn’t yet eclipsed it Exclusive: AI powerhouses threaten data processing firms A South African artist is changing the way viewers understand Picasso’s Guernica Airbnb faces familiar battle in Cape Town First look at war-related inflation sparks political jostling View: China’s state businesses are reshaping markets in Africa US issues Nigeria travel warning over terrorism, kidnapping FirstRand exits UK business after regulatory hit Afreximbank’s $800M answer to Fitch Exclusive: Navy takes nuclear-powered sub offline after $800 million cost run-up Cuba leader says he will not step down Fed, Treasury summon Wall Street chiefs over AI fears How Bluesky earned its reputation — and why it could be the way of the future China eyes stronger Taiwan influence Orbán slams Hungary’s opposition as he trails in polls Iran war reshapes air travel, perhaps for the long term Tehran residents embrace calm amid tenuous truce Countries lack fiscal capacity to handle war fallout Higher producer prices ease China deflation fears Trump ‘optimistic’ on Iran peace talks Inside the five-year succession plan at a $130B warehouse giant Georges Elhedery on HSBC’s big bets on the Gulf and Asia Warsh’s Fed hearing slips past next week Moore takes on the Sun’s ‘MAGA billionaire’ and more Debatable: AI titans influencing regulation Americans still think taxes are too high, poll finds Lawmakers await Pentagon’s mystery funding request Semafor convenes largest US CEO gathering next week in Washington American Gen Zers are growing more uneasy about AI Amazon defends high AI spending AI turbocharges Chinese microdrama industry OpenAI pauses UK Stargate project UK rejects Iran’s Hormuz toll plan Israel, Lebanon to hold direct talks Republicans fight among themselves over their long pre-election to-do list Exclusive: Gulf sovereigns quadruple private credit portfolios Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala soars after dealmaking spree View: Ceasefire offers respite, but no quick rebound for the Gulf A Saudi oil magazine is publishing some of the best writing about the Islamic world Exclusive: SpaceX bankers game plan to blunt post-IPO selling tsunami Exclusive: Hormuz closure turns truckers into logistics saviors View: As Republicans embrace AI in campaigning, Democrats bet on a backlash Oil prices remain high despite Iran ceasefire Ancient philosopher text unearthed Panama pushes back against China in canal row China’s yuan set to strengthen due to Middle East war View: Ceasefire shows the power of Iran’s energy weapon EU faces ‘stagflation’ over war, economy official warns Trump slams NATO again Iran war support Iran maintains firm grip on Hormuz traffic Israel’s attacks in Lebanon threaten Iran war truce VP Vance to lead Iran 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Exclusive: Why House Democrats aren’t worried about aisle-crossing rebellions
Nicholas Wu · 2026-06-16 · via Semafor

House Democrats are betting that a future Speaker Hakeem Jeffries wouldn’t struggle with the type of aisle-crossing rebellion that’s often vexed current Speaker Mike Johnson.

That’s in part because of a House rule that’s prolonged Johnson’s problems: Any 218 House members can force a bill to the floor, bypassing leaders in the majority party. The current Congress has set a modern record for the use of this GOP leadership-defying maneuver — resulting in the passage of a Ukraine aid bill and a worker contracts bill during this month alone.

But Democrats don’t see much reason to fear what’s known as the discharge petition if they prevail in the midterms, and several House sources told Semafor they wouldn’t look to change it. Members of their party would have few incentives to break with Jeffries, who’d take office as the first Black speaker and lead a caucus eager to align against the Trump administration.

House Democrats also hope Jeffries’ more deliberate leadership style would help them avoid the discontent that has pushed so many Republicans to buck their leadership. And they believe the unique political dynamics driving frustrated Republicans to team up with them this Congress might evaporate if the majority flips.

“I’m trying to think of the issues you could get all Republicans and a handful of Democrats on” if the House turns blue next year, one senior Democratic aide said, “and I just don’t see it.”

While Republicans are openly considering changing the rules to make discharge petitions harder, Democrats are not likely to do the same if they retake the House. The House’s periodic descent into politically motivated censure votes, however, could propel them to make a change next year.

Current House rules allow any one lawmaker to force a vote on disciplining a colleague, setting the stage for censure clashes that have frequently become retaliatory grudge matches. For example, Republicans’ efforts last fall to formally reprimand Rep. LaMonica McIver, D-N.J., over her involvement in a chaotic scuffle at an immigration detention center turned into a back-and-forth with Democrats who were trying to censure Rep. Cory Mills, R-Fla., for alleged ethical transgressions.

Rep. Don Beyer, D-Va., has spearheaded bipartisan legislation to hike the threshold required to censure a lawmaker to 60% of the House, up from the current simple majority. He told Semafor he’s planning to press the party to implement his change at the beginning of the new Congress, perhaps as part of the required new House rules package.

“I thought we were close now, but not with Mike Johnson,” Beyer said of his current campaign to change the censure rules. “You have to do it early.” The proposal has been floated to Jeffries, who’s previously expressed openness to it.

Beyer wants his party to consider other significant rules changes, including possible term limits for Democratic committee leaders and ranked-choice voting for caucus leadership positions. Both of those ideas have failed to gain traction with Democrats in the past.