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US inflation jumps, though long-term war impact yet to be seen Hospitals consider replacing some radiologists with AI Amazon takes a jab at Nvidia over chips shift VCs step in to fund university upstarts Exclusive: Anthropic is gaining on OpenAI’s revenue, but hasn’t yet eclipsed it Exclusive: AI powerhouses threaten data processing firms A South African artist is changing the way viewers understand Picasso’s Guernica Airbnb faces familiar battle in Cape Town First look at war-related inflation sparks political jostling View: China’s state businesses are reshaping markets in Africa US issues Nigeria travel warning over terrorism, kidnapping FirstRand exits UK business after regulatory hit Afreximbank’s $800M answer to Fitch Exclusive: Navy takes nuclear-powered sub offline after $800 million cost run-up Cuba leader says he will not step down Fed, Treasury summon Wall Street chiefs over AI fears How Bluesky earned its reputation — and why it could be the way of the future China eyes stronger Taiwan influence Orbán slams Hungary’s opposition as he trails in polls Iran war reshapes air travel, perhaps for the long term Tehran residents embrace calm amid tenuous truce Countries lack fiscal capacity to handle war fallout Higher producer prices ease China deflation fears Trump ‘optimistic’ on Iran peace talks Inside the five-year succession plan at a $130B warehouse giant Georges Elhedery on HSBC’s big bets on the Gulf and Asia Warsh’s Fed hearing slips past next week Moore takes on the Sun’s ‘MAGA billionaire’ and more Debatable: AI titans influencing regulation Americans still think taxes are too high, poll finds Lawmakers await Pentagon’s mystery funding request Semafor convenes largest US CEO gathering next week in Washington American Gen Zers are growing more uneasy about AI Amazon defends high AI spending AI turbocharges Chinese microdrama industry OpenAI pauses UK Stargate project UK rejects Iran’s Hormuz toll plan Israel, Lebanon to hold direct talks 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AOC is taking her time ahead of 2028
Nicholas Wu · 2026-05-15 · via Semafor

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is familiar with her every move getting analyzed for possible clues to her future. Her approach to this election year, however, sends a clear signal: She’s genuinely unsure what’s next.

The 36-year-old New York Democratic socialist is being choosy in which candidates she campaigns for, a shift from past uses of her star power that’s less likely to cause intraparty friction than some other potential presidential hopefuls. She’s also broaching 2028 with palpable caution when asked in public.

With colleagues in private, she’s just as deliberative, according to interviews with more than a dozen Democratic lawmakers, aides, and operatives. Ocasio-Cortez’s allies are ready to cheer whatever she decides — whether it’s a Senate run, a White House bid, or staying in the House — but they see her taking her time.

“I’m not sure what she might decide,” said Minnesota Rep. Ilhan Omar, who arrived at the Capitol alongside Ocasio-Cortez as part of the buzzy “Squad” of young progressives. “She’s being strategic, looking at what her options are. I think, oftentimes, people will push you in a direction and set you up for failure. So, I think it is good for her to consciously make the decision and not get ushered into something that she may not want to do.”

Whatever she does will get scrutinized ahead of 2028, given polls showing her ahead in a prospective Democratic presidential primary and in a hypothetical matchup against Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y. But her recent comment that her ambitions were “way bigger” than any title or elected office suggests an alternate path, of an aspiring progressive movement leader who might not have to move up at all.

Ocasio-Cortez herself described her comparatively lighter pace of congressional endorsements this cycle as a departure from the way lawmakers usually wield their clout.

“The thing that’s different for me is that when I choose to mobilize, when I choose to endorse a candidate, I mobilize my entire operation for that candidate,” she told Semafor in a brief interview. “Letting campaigns kind of demonstrate what they’re capable of is one important element to an endorsement. But that’s not to say that a lack of endorsement is a, like, anti-endorsement — which, I think sometimes people take it that way,”

She’s set to rally in Philadelphia on Friday with Pennsylvania state Rep. Chris Rabb, a left-wing Israel critic whose congressional bid for a safe blue seat is opposed by Gov. Josh Shapiro. Next week she’ll appear in Montana for a Democrat who faces a contested primary on the outer edge of the House battlefield.

Ocasio-Cortez is also hinting she’ll do more to help Democrats as they devise their redistricting counterpunch. But after a 2020 cycle defined by bruising battles over her nascent influence on the party, followed by two election cycles of evolution into an occasional inside operator, she’s still maturing as a Democratic power broker.

Her fellow Democrats see her current, more cautious campaign-trail posture as part of that. And they’re grateful for her shift away from primary endorsements against sitting lawmakers.

Ocasio-Cortez’s mentor Bernie Sanders rankled some in the party — particularly those in the Black Caucus who have longstanding gripes with the Vermont Independent — by backing a progressive challenger to Rep. Valerie Foushee in North Carolina earlier this year. She and the rest of the “Squad” stayed out of it.

“They understand that we are on the brink of taking back the House, having Hakeem Jeffries to be the speaker, and so we are unified,” said Rep. Joyce Beatty, D-Ohio, who added that “Bernie Sanders is still looking for his existence and for his own power versus standing with us, or he would not be out there doing that.”

Sanders praised Ocasio-Cortez and told Semafor she was “doing a great job. She’s running around the country and she is supporting strong candidates and rallying the grassroots.”

Asked if Ocasio-Cortez is the heir to his style of politics, Sanders hopped onto an elevator with Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson and deadpanned: “She’s doing a great job. Ron Johnson is the heir to my politics.”