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“Not everybody has marketed their product as clearly as, certainly we would like to see with the clarity that this is really not a liquid product. It’s not semi-liquid. It’s really illiquid,” Waldron said. “Those retail investors, I think, have the perception of more liquidity than is the reality.”
Still, Waldron said there won’t be a big problem in private credit without real economic degradation.
“This is an economy that has been predicted to be in trouble for a long time and shows extraordinary resilience,” Waldron said. “I still see that resilience.” He later added, “This economy is much stronger than the narrative suggests.”
Based in part on first quarter earnings reports by public companies, Waldron said he doesn’t see “any real evidence” of material weakness in the economy. Right now, “confidence is still pretty good. Obviously the longer the war goes, the more people get cautious about their own businesses.”
Waldron said that sentiment remains an “important thing” and that it gets weaker as the Iran war goes on because it ushers in unpredictability and uncertainty. If summer comes, the Strait of Hormuz isn’t open, and oil prices keep climbing, “you’re going to start to see demand destruction,” he said.
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