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trails in polls Iran war reshapes air travel, perhaps for the long term Tehran residents embrace calm amid tenuous truce Countries lack fiscal capacity to handle war fallout Higher producer prices ease China deflation fears Trump ‘optimistic’ on Iran peace talks Inside the five-year succession plan at a $130B warehouse giant Georges Elhedery on HSBC’s big bets on the Gulf and Asia Warsh’s Fed hearing slips past next week Moore takes on the Sun’s ‘MAGA billionaire’ and more Debatable: AI titans influencing regulation Americans still think taxes are too high, poll finds Lawmakers await Pentagon’s mystery funding request Semafor convenes largest US CEO gathering next week in Washington American Gen Zers are growing more uneasy about AI Amazon defends high AI spending AI turbocharges Chinese microdrama industry OpenAI pauses UK Stargate project UK rejects Iran’s Hormuz toll plan Israel, Lebanon to hold direct talks Republicans fight among themselves over their long pre-election to-do list Exclusive: Gulf sovereigns quadruple private credit portfolios Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala soars after dealmaking spree View: Ceasefire offers respite, but no quick rebound for the Gulf A Saudi oil magazine is publishing some of the best writing about the Islamic world Exclusive: SpaceX bankers game plan to blunt post-IPO selling tsunami Exclusive: Hormuz closure turns truckers into logistics saviors View: As Republicans embrace AI in campaigning, Democrats bet on a backlash Oil prices remain high despite Iran ceasefire Ancient philosopher text unearthed Panama pushes back against China in canal row China’s yuan set to strengthen due to Middle East war View: Ceasefire shows the power of Iran’s energy weapon EU faces ‘stagflation’ over war, economy official warns Trump slams NATO again Iran war support Iran maintains firm grip on Hormuz traffic Israel’s attacks in Lebanon threaten Iran war truce VP Vance to lead Iran truce talks in Pakistan Exclusive: Democrats pressure Pentagon over new media 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View: China’s state businesses are reshaping markets in Africa
2026-04-10 · via Semafor

China’s state-owned enterprises aren’t just building roads and railways across Africa, they are reshaping markets and, increasingly, the policy environment itself.

That was the central warning of a report last month by the US government-backed Africa Center for Strategic Studies. It landed even as Washington scrambles to catch up with its own state-backed push for strategic assets on the continent.

The authors argue that Chinese operators function as instruments of state power, able to “blur the line between commercial and geopolitical goals” in ways no private US competitor can replicate. The evidence cited in DR Congo and Zambia is how Chinese firms dominate mining and power infrastructure, which they say is backed by opaque financing arrangements and loose regulatory oversight. In Kenya and Ethiopia, Chinese SOEs have financed, built, and in several cases continue to operate the railways and industrial parks that anchor regional trade.

The report calls this “market capture.” Commercial dominance, held long enough, becomes political leverage.

Washington is adapting, but awkwardly. The Trump administration has leaned into deal-making centered on critical minerals for example, with the US International Development Finance Corporation (DFC) taking on a bigger role. The tools and ambitions might be converging, but the structures and willingness are not. Corralling American businesses and private capital to bet on Africa is still a tough gig. The question isn’t whether the US will try to compete, but just how far it’s willing to go to support American players to step up on the continent.