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Semafor

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stronger Taiwan influence Orbán slams Hungary’s opposition as he trails in polls Iran war reshapes air travel, perhaps for the long term Tehran residents embrace calm amid tenuous truce Countries lack fiscal capacity to handle war fallout Higher producer prices ease China deflation fears Trump ‘optimistic’ on Iran peace talks Inside the five-year succession plan at a $130B warehouse giant Georges Elhedery on HSBC’s big bets on the Gulf and Asia Warsh’s Fed hearing slips past next week Moore takes on the Sun’s ‘MAGA billionaire’ and more Debatable: AI titans influencing regulation Americans still think taxes are too high, poll finds Lawmakers await Pentagon’s mystery funding request Semafor convenes largest US CEO gathering next week in Washington American Gen Zers are growing more uneasy about AI Amazon defends high AI spending AI turbocharges Chinese microdrama industry OpenAI pauses UK Stargate project UK rejects Iran’s Hormuz toll plan Israel, Lebanon to hold direct talks 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US-China relationship will stabilize because of ‘mutually assured economic disruption,’ Hank Paulson says
2026-04-15 · via Semafor

Former US Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson on Tuesday said that he is hopeful that President Donald Trump’s planned travel to China next month for a summit will tamp down some of the long-standing tensions between the two nations because of how closely the world’s two largest economies are intertwined.

“We are in a period of what I would call mutually assured economic disruption,” Paulson, former CEO of Goldman Sachs, said at Semafor World Economy in Washington, DC. “That gives a sort of stability – a stability that doesn’t come out of mutual trust. It comes out of the fact that each knows that the cost of escalation is high.”

Paulson, who has been to China frequently, expects that the Chinese will do very well in welcoming Trump with all the ceremony and pomp that Trump loves. That could help ease some of the pressures and lead to more trust.

“There’s a big trust deficit right now – may even be bigger than the trade deficit,” Paulson said.