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Semafor

US inflation jumps, though long-term war impact yet to be seen Hospitals consider replacing some radiologists with AI Amazon takes a jab at Nvidia over chips shift VCs step in to fund university upstarts Exclusive: Anthropic is gaining on OpenAI’s revenue, but hasn’t yet eclipsed it Exclusive: AI powerhouses threaten data processing firms A South African artist is changing the way viewers understand Picasso’s Guernica Airbnb faces familiar battle in Cape Town First look at war-related inflation sparks political jostling View: China’s state businesses are reshaping markets in Africa US issues Nigeria travel warning over terrorism, kidnapping FirstRand exits UK business after regulatory hit Afreximbank’s $800M answer to Fitch Exclusive: Navy takes nuclear-powered sub offline after $800 million cost run-up Cuba leader says he will not step down Fed, Treasury summon Wall Street chiefs over AI fears How Bluesky earned its reputation — and why it could be the way of the future China eyes stronger Taiwan influence Orbán slams Hungary’s opposition as he trails in polls Iran war reshapes air travel, perhaps for the long term Tehran residents embrace calm amid tenuous truce Countries lack fiscal capacity to handle war fallout Higher producer prices ease China deflation fears Trump ‘optimistic’ on Iran peace talks Inside the five-year succession plan at a $130B warehouse giant Georges Elhedery on HSBC’s big bets on the Gulf and Asia Warsh’s Fed hearing slips past next week Moore takes on the Sun’s ‘MAGA billionaire’ and more Debatable: AI titans influencing regulation Americans still think taxes are too high, poll finds Lawmakers await Pentagon’s mystery funding request Semafor convenes largest US CEO gathering next week in Washington American Gen Zers are growing more uneasy about AI Amazon defends high AI spending AI turbocharges Chinese microdrama industry OpenAI pauses UK Stargate project UK rejects Iran’s Hormuz toll plan Israel, Lebanon to hold direct talks Republicans fight among themselves over their long pre-election to-do list Exclusive: Gulf sovereigns quadruple private credit portfolios Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala soars after dealmaking spree View: Ceasefire offers respite, but no quick rebound for the Gulf A Saudi oil magazine is publishing some of the best writing about the Islamic world Exclusive: SpaceX bankers game plan to blunt post-IPO selling tsunami Exclusive: Hormuz closure turns truckers into logistics saviors View: As Republicans embrace AI in campaigning, Democrats bet on a backlash Oil prices remain high despite Iran ceasefire Ancient philosopher text unearthed Panama pushes back against China in canal row China’s yuan set to strengthen due to Middle East war View: Ceasefire shows the power of Iran’s energy weapon EU faces ‘stagflation’ over war, economy official warns Trump slams NATO again Iran war support Iran maintains firm grip on Hormuz traffic Israel’s attacks in Lebanon threaten Iran war truce VP Vance to lead Iran 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India can handle the energy shock if Iran ceasefire holds, top government adviser says
Chris Wellis · 2026-04-18 · via Semafor

The Indian government’s chief economic adviser expressed confidence Friday that the world’s sixth-largest economy can weather the energy-price shock caused by the Iran war if the ceasefire holds.

“We feel that if the current ceasefire holds and also gets extended indefinitely, by the end of the calendar third quarter, energy supply and prices should normalize, and I think that is something we can absorb,” V. Anantha Nageswaran said at Semafor World Economy in Washington, DC.

The country has adequate stocks of fertilizer for the sowing season, he said, although rising prices of cooking oil are squeezing the poor. Still, the government has the fiscal firepower to provide support for the poor, if necessary, after more than halving its budget deficit in recent years. He described the fallout from the Iran war as “a minor, short term setback” to India’s goal of reducing poverty and expanding its middle class.

Longer term, Nageswaran pointed to India’s effort to diversify sources of energy and reduce its dependence on oil imports. The country recently opened its nuclear energy sector to foreign and private investment and has exempted imported capital goods for the sector from tariffs. “We are approaching this as a long term challenge,” he said. “We have to diversify our energy sources.”

India, the world’s most populous country, is among the biggest importers of crude oil, which contributes about a quarter of its primary energy supply. Imports account for almost 90% of India’s oil consumption.