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The Guardian

Rory McIlroy surges into six-shot Masters lead with stunning second-round flourish ‘That’ll be the end’: actor Sam Neill joins fight to stop controversial goldmine near his New Zealand vineyard Roberto De Zerbi targets ‘Ange-ball’ revival to save Spurs from relegation Bath hit back to reach semi-final after stunning Northampton in 11-try epic Secret Garden to Outcome: the week in rave reviews Zebras, wealth and power: Hungary’s election tests Orbán’s grip on power ‘TikTok effect’ brings sellout crowds and younger fans to Grand National meeting The war over Omagh’s gold: the £21bn mine plan tearing a community apart Britain’s shadow workforce is paid as little as 65p an hour. Who cares for the carers? From You, Me & Tuscany to Euphoria: your complete entertainment guide to the week ahead Six great reads: the man who let snakes bite him, masked heavy metal and the brutal reality for foreign students in the UK American Classic review – I defy you not to fall in love with Kevin Kline and Laura Linney’s tender comedy Cuba’s doctors were a lifeline for the world. Now the Caribbean is shamefully complicit in the US drive to expel them An environmental disaster in Moldova has Russia’s fingerprints all over it RMIT drops misconduct case against student who accused university of being ‘complicit in Gaza genocide’ Ichiro Suzuki statue unveiling goes awry as bronze bat snaps during ceremony Survivors of Epstein’s abuse accuse Melania Trump of ‘shifting burden’ on to victims European football: Real Madrid held at home by Girona to extend winless run Arne Slot insists he is ‘aligned’ with Liverpool board and fans as squad is rebuilt Kamala Harris ‘thinking about’ running for president again in 2028 JD Vance warns Iran against trying to ‘play’ the US in peace talks West Ham double up twice to thrash Wolves and put Spurs in relegation zone Trump administration releases new renderings of so-called ‘Arc de Trump’ Crispin Odey drops £79m libel claim against FT over sexual misconduct allegations Bafta apologises for events surrounding John Davidson’s Tourette’s outburst Cocktail of the week: Bar Shrimp’s la rosita – recipe New drug may extend survival in aggressive ovarian cancer, trial shows One dead and 27 injured after bus with British passengers crashes in Canary Islands Pope adds to Smith’s mass of Surrey runs with England woes a world away OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s home targeted with molotov cocktail Reform UK local election candidate was twice disciplined by Tories over ‘racist comments’ Remaining in Nato is in best interests of US, says Keir Starmer Prince Harry sued for defamation by charity he co-founded Anthropic’s new AI tool has implications for us all – whether we can use it or not Concerns raised about motorbike tourist trail after death of British teenager in Vietnam The Guardian view on Trump’s civilisational threats: the words that fuel war must be condemned The Guardian view on dystopias for our times: the American nightmare Doctors’ leader claims new reduced pay offer killed chances of ending strikes in England Netanyahu-ism has achieved nothing for Israelis – and come at a monstrously high price Deborah Levy: ‘CS Lewis’s White Witch terrified me – but I wanted to meet her’ How I Shop with Michelle Ogundehin: ‘We grownups have enough stuff already’ Trump’s war and Melania’s Epstein statement, with US editor Betsy Reed – The Latest We have to stop killer motorists on Britain’s roads UK starts crackdown on EU citizens’ post-Brexit rights Londoners aren’t unfriendly – but don’t compare us to New Yorkers The religious right and the perversion of faith Artemis II images reignite moon mission memories Orbán and Magyar trade accusations in last days of Hungary election campaign Reckonwrong: How Long Has It Been? review | Safi Bugel's experimental album of the month Martin Rowson on Middle East peace talks – cartoon Masters magic, the Grand National and Premier League drama – follow with us Fears of UK and EU flight cancellations as airports warn of jet fuel shortages Reform’s petulance over slavery reparations shows it just doesn’t grasp Britain’s place in the modern world Peers vote to ban pornography depicting sex acts between stepfamily members Starbucks’s retail arm gets £13.7m tax credit even as sales increase Flyby review – interstellar musical is a voyage of epic strangeness Grand National preview: Jagwar can deny Irish cohort in Aintree classic Week in wildlife: an ostrich on the lam, a tortoise crossing a road and surfing seals Anger as swifts’ nesting holes in Derbyshire rail viaduct ‘blocked up’ Peter Mandelson faces fixed-penalty notice for urinating in public ‘There’s no shortage of terrifying technology’: how AI became TV drama’s new go-to villain ‘Fresher than anything in a shop’: the best recipe boxes and meal kits for time-poor foodies, tested Who was Hilma? 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UK borrowing costs hit highest since 1998 amid Starmer uncertainty
Julia Kollew · 2026-05-12 · via The Guardian

Long-term UK borrowing costs soared to the highest level in almost three decades on Tuesday amid fears about a change of Labour leadership, before dropping back as cabinet ministers rallied around Keir Starmer.

With investors worried about potential changes to Labour’s tax and spending plans, the yield – in effect the interest rate – on 30-year government bonds jumped 11 basis points on Tuesday morning to 5.794%, the highest since May 1998.

Yields later fell back slightly, after the prime minister told a cabinet meeting on Tuesday morning that he would not resign and that the process for a leadership challenge had not been triggered. Shortly before the meeting, Miatta Fahnbulleh became the first minister to resign since Labour’s significant losses at last week’s local and devolved elections, calling on Starmer to quit.

Starmer said: “The Labour party has a process for challenging a leader and that has not been triggered. The country expects us to get on with governing. That is what I am doing and what we must do as a cabinet.”

After the cabinet meeting, several cabinet ministers including Peter Kyle, the business secretary, Liz Kendall, the technology secretary, and the housing secretary, Steve Reed, told reporters they were supporting Starmer.

Starmer’s comments and their support appeared to bring some calm to jittery financial markets. The benchmark 10-year yield on UK government bonds dropped back to below 5.1%, having hit 5.13% earlier in the day, while the 30-year yield dropped to 5.76%, after touching a new 28-year high of 5.81%.

Meanwhile, the pound dropped 0.6% to $1.353 and was 0.3% lower against the euro at 86.8p a euro.

Higher yields, if sustained, can raise the cost of borrowing for the government, consumers and businesses. Yields on the bonds of most major economies have been rising this year because of the inflationary impact of the Middle East conflict – but the UK has been hit especially hard.

Investors are weighing the potential impact of a change of leadership – or a lengthy period of internal Labour unrest. Two potential frontrunners to succeed Starmer, Angela Rayner and Andy Burnham, have hinted they would like to see higher public spending.

Neil Wilson, an investor strategist at Saxo Markets, said: “We could see a blowout in longer-dated gilts if this turns into a dogfight – political, fiscal and inflationary risks will rise. Markets tend to dislike a lack of certainty over who runs a government; the fiscal position is already fragile and likely to become worse should a left-leaning ticket prioritise spending, and that makes inflation stickier.”

Mohit Kumar, the chief economist for Europe at Jefferies, said: “A managed exit would be our base-case scenario. Any replacement would likely be left leaning and be negative for the long end of the curve and the currency.” He said he expected a widening between shorter- and longer-dated UK borrowing costs, and was betting against the pound.

Stocks were also under pressure, with the FTSE 100 index down nearly 1%. Bank shares fell, with Barclays dropping 4% in early trade, while NatWest and Lloyds slipped more than 3%.

Gilt yields had already risen this week amid concerns over a jump in energy prices leading to higher inflation. Oil prices rose nearly 1% on Tuesday as talks to end the US-Israel war on Iran appeared fragile. Brent crude futures rose 2.7% to $106 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate gained 99 cents, or 1%, to $99.06 a barrel.

Donald Trump said on Monday the ceasefire with Iran was “on life support”, pointing to disagreements over several demands such as the cessation of hostilities on all fronts, the removal of a US naval blockade, the resumption of Iranian oil sales and compensation for war damage.

Tehran stressed its sovereignty over the strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas flows in normal times, and where hundreds of tankers and cargo ships remain trapped.

Suvro Sarkar, who leads the energy team at Australia’s DBS Bank, said: “Optimism regarding an imminent [peace] deal seems to be fading again and if we don’t see a deal by the end of May then upside risks for oil prices are definitely on the table.”

Kathleen Brooks, the research director at XTB, said: “There is an upward bias for bond yields anyway, and the UK yields are facing a double whammy of an energy price spike and a political crisis. The risk is that we get a bond market meltdown in the UK in the coming days.”