In a stark warning, Pavel – a retired Nato general – warns that “peace in Europe can no longer be treated as the default state of affairs.”

“It must once again be actively protected, defended and maintained. The lesson of this moment is not that Europe is alone it is that Europe needs to be strong enough to stand on its own when needed.”

He warns that Europe needs to pull all the levers to get itself into the best position, as “history will simply not wait for Europe to become ready.”

“We must act swiftly,” he says.

Pavel turns to Ukraine, stressing that “supporting Ukraine is not a charity,” but “a direct investment in Europe’s own security.”

“If Ukraine is forced into a bad peace, we all will live with the consequences for decades,” he warns.

Pavel also stresses the need to bring the EU and Nato closer, as Brussels “has instruments that Nato does not have: funding, infrastructure, and industrial policies” that can work as policy tools to help with defence preparations.

“I am convinced that these two sets of instruments should be connected. Nato and European Union are not competitors in European security. They should function as complementary pillars.”

He gives a specific example of Nato working with the EU to modernise “routes, ports, bridges and airfields” that are critical for moving forces across Europe.

“The task is to make sure that the two plans overlap; that Nato’s military requirements guide EU investments, and the EU investments strengthen Nato deterrence.”

He pointedly says that such plans should include Canada, Norway, and the UK, as “indispensable European security actors.”

Pavel says that Europe “has already made significant progress in defence spending,” but warns that “credible defence is not built on spending levels alone.”

“We need to work hard to strengthen our strategic enablers and close critical gaps in areas such as strategic airlift, air and missile defence, intelligence, logistics, or military mobility. There is no time to lose.”

Pavel begins by saying that his repeated warnings that Europe needs to focus on its political will, industrial capacity and technological capacity “remain fully valid; if anything, it has become even more urgent today.”

He says it is clear that Europe “must assume greater responsibility for our own defence, not because we are told so by Washington, but because it is in our own strategic and vital interest.”

He says that as “debates about the future scale of America’s conventional military presence in Europe are becoming more pronounced, Europe must be prepared for this reality.”

“This doesn’t mean that Europe should turn away from the United States – just the opposite. Nato remains the foundation of our collective defence, and the transatlantic bond remains essential for our own security – but we must be honest [that] many assumptions supporting the old security architecture are no longer valid.”

The Globsec Forum in Prague is now under way.

Czechia’s Pavel is on stage for his opening address.

I will bring you the key lines.

in Prague

Dobré ráno, or good morning from Prague.

Over 2,000 state officials, foreign policy and security experts from Europe and beyond are meeting in the Czech capital for the GLOBSEC Forum 2026. And there is no shortage of issues to cover.

From the latest drone incidents in the Baltics to broader security situation in Ukraine and Europe – and this part of Europe in particular – to broader global questions on energy, geopolitics, AI, and the state of the transatlantic alliance, there will be plenty of things to cover.

We will hear from the Czech president, Petr Pavel, the European Commission’s vice-president, Henna Virkunen, and the former Nato secretary general, Anders Fogh Rasmussen, among others just as Nato’s foreign ministers gather in Sweden for their ministerial meeting today and tomorrow.

Last night, Pavel warned that Russia will continue to be Europe’s main security threat for decades, as the continent wakes up from being overreliant on US protection and needs to radically bolster its own defence as a new global order of competing superpowers takes shape.

I will bring you all the key lines here.

Elsewhere, I will bring you the latest on Ukraine, the said drone incidents in the Baltics, and all other relevant news from across the continent.

It’s Thursday, 21 May 2026, it’s Jakub Krupa here, and this is Europe Live.

Good morning.